Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Holstein Kiel win with a probability of 74.65%. A draw had a probability of 15.4% and a win for Alemannia Aachen had a probability of 9.93%.
The most likely scoreline for a Holstein Kiel win was 0-2 with a probability of 11.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-3 (9.44%) and 1-2 (9.18%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.2%), while for an Alemannia Aachen win it was 2-1 (2.98%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Holstein Kiel would win this match.