Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Holstein Kiel win with a probability of 39.42%. A win for Borussia Monchengladbach had a probability of 37.28% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Holstein Kiel win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.5%) and 0-2 (5.33%). The likeliest Borussia Monchengladbach win was 2-1 (8.2%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.32%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood.