/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F06%2Fwollog.png)
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F06%2Fbaylog.png)
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Lovro Majer
47'
-
Lovro Majer
55'
-
Mattias Svanberg
71'
-
Cedric Zesiger
82'
-
Jamal Musiala
20'
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Harry Kane
31'
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Sacha Boey
46'
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Jakub Kaminski
65'
(OG)
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Jamal Musiala
70'
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Serge Gnabry
82'
Wolfsburg vs Bayern Munich - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
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Form, Standings, Stats
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayern Munich win with a probability of 62.07%. A draw had a probability of 19.2% and a win for Wolfsburg had a probability of 18.75%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bayern Munich win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (7.96%) and 1-3 (7.36%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.3%), while for a Wolfsburg win it was 2-1 (4.99%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 4.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bayern Munich would win this match.
Result
Wolfsburg
18.75%
▼
(-1.50)
Draw
19.17%
▼
(-0.51)
Bayern Munich
62.07%
▲
(+2.01)
Both Teams to Score:
62.98%
▼
(-0.84)
Goals
Over 2.5
68.07%
▲
(+0.11)
Under 2.5
31.93%
▼
(-0.11)
Over 3.5
46.52%
▲
(+0.13)
Under 3.5
53.48%
▼
(-0.13)
Over 4.5
27.61%
▲
(+0.11)
Under 4.5
72.39%
▼
(-0.11)
Wolfsburg Goals
Over 0.5
69.96%
▼
(-1.35)
Under 0.5
30.04%
▲
(+1.35)
Over 1.5
33.83%
▼
(-1.65)
Under 1.5
66.17%
▲
(+1.65)
Bayern Munich Goals
Over 0.5
90.03%
▲
(+0.53)
Under 0.5
9.97%
▼
(-0.53)
Over 1.5
67.04%
▲
(+1.20)
Under 1.5
32.96%
▼
(-1.20)
Score analysis
Wolfsburg
18.75%
Draw
19.17%
Bayern Munich
62.07%
Wolfsburg
2-1
@
4.99%
▼
(-0.30)
1-0 @ 3.6% ▼ (-0.16)
3-2 @ 2.31% ▼ (-0.18)
2-0 @ 2.17% ▼ (-0.19)
3-1 @ 2% ▼ (-0.20)
Other @ 3.68%
Total : 18.75%
1-0 @ 3.6% ▼ (-0.16)
3-2 @ 2.31% ▼ (-0.18)
2-0 @ 2.17% ▼ (-0.19)
3-1 @ 2% ▼ (-0.20)
Other @ 3.68%
Total : 18.75%
Draw
1-1
@
8.3%
▼
(-0.18)
2-2 @ 5.76% ▼ (-0.21)
0-0 @ 3% ▼ (-0.02)
3-3 @ 1.77% ▼ (-0.10)
Other @ 0.34%
Total : 19.17%
2-2 @ 5.76% ▼ (-0.21)
0-0 @ 3% ▼ (-0.02)
3-3 @ 1.77% ▼ (-0.10)
Other @ 0.34%
Total : 19.17%
Bayern Munich
1-2
@
9.57%
▲
(+0.02)
0-2 @ 7.96% ▲ (+0.31)
1-3 @ 7.36% ▲ (+0.18)
0-1 @ 6.91% ▲ (+0.12)
0-3 @ 6.12% ▲ (+0.37)
2-3 @ 4.42% ▼ (-0.06)
1-4 @ 4.24% ▲ (+0.20)
0-4 @ 3.53% ▲ (+0.29)
2-4 @ 2.55% ▲ (+0.03)
1-5 @ 1.96% ▲ (+0.14)
0-5 @ 1.63% ▲ (+0.17)
2-5 @ 1.18% ▲ (+0.04)
3-4 @ 1.02% ▼ (-0.03)
Other @ 3.64%
Total : 62.07%
0-2 @ 7.96% ▲ (+0.31)
1-3 @ 7.36% ▲ (+0.18)
0-1 @ 6.91% ▲ (+0.12)
0-3 @ 6.12% ▲ (+0.37)
2-3 @ 4.42% ▼ (-0.06)
1-4 @ 4.24% ▲ (+0.20)
0-4 @ 3.53% ▲ (+0.29)
2-4 @ 2.55% ▲ (+0.03)
1-5 @ 1.96% ▲ (+0.14)
0-5 @ 1.63% ▲ (+0.17)
2-5 @ 1.18% ▲ (+0.04)
3-4 @ 1.02% ▼ (-0.03)
Other @ 3.64%
Total : 62.07%