Bundesliga

Bundesliga | Gameweek 1

Aug 25, 2024 at 2.30pm UK

VOLKSWAGEN ARENA

Wolfsburg
2 - 3
Bayern

Majer (47' pen., 55')
Svanberg (71'), Zesiger (82')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Musiala (20'), Kaminski (65' og.), Gnabry (82')
Kane (31'), Boey (46'), Musiala (70')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Bundesliga clash between Wolfsburg and Bayern Munich, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Wolfsburg

All competitions

Bundesliga

Last Game: Koblenz 0-1 Wolfsburg
Monday, August 19 at 5pm in DFB-Pokal

Goals
for

Bayern Munich

All competitions

Bundesliga

Last Game: Bayern 4-0 Grasshopper
Tuesday, August 20 at 10.30am in Club Friendlies 1

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayern Munich win with a probability of 62.07%. A draw had a probability of 19.2% and a win for Wolfsburg had a probability of 18.75%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bayern Munich win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (7.96%) and 1-3 (7.36%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.3%), while for a Wolfsburg win it was 2-1 (4.99%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 4.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bayern Munich would win this match.

Result
Wolfsburg	Draw	Bayern Munich
18.75% ( -1.5)	19.17% ( -0.51)	62.07% ( 2.01)

Both teams to score 62.98% (

-0.83)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

68.07% (

0.1)

31.93% (

-0.1)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

46.52% (

0.12)

53.48% (

-0.12)

Wolfsburg Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.96% (

-1.34)

30.04% (

1.34)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.83% (

-1.65)

66.17% (

1.65)

Bayern Munich Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

90.03% (

0.53)

9.97% (

-0.53)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

67.04% (

1.2)

32.96% (

-1.2)

Score Analysis

Wolfsburg 18.75%

Bayern Munich 62.07%

Draw 19.17%

Wolfsburg	Draw	Bayern Munich
2-1 @ 4.99% ( -0.3) 1-0 @ 3.6% ( -0.16) 3-2 @ 2.31% ( -0.17) 2-0 @ 2.17% ( -0.18) 3-1 @ 2% ( -0.2) Other @ 3.68% Total : 18.75%	1-1 @ 8.3% ( -0.17) 2-2 @ 5.76% ( -0.21) 0-0 @ 3% ( -0.02) 3-3 @ 1.77% ( -0.09) Other @ 0.34% Total : 19.17%	1-2 @ 9.57% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 7.96% ( 0.31) 1-3 @ 7.36% ( 0.18) 0-1 @ 6.91% ( 0.12) 0-3 @ 6.12% ( 0.37) 2-3 @ 4.42% ( -0.06) 1-4 @ 4.24% ( 0.19) 0-4 @ 3.53% ( 0.29) 2-4 @ 2.55% ( 0.02) 1-5 @ 1.96% ( 0.13) 0-5 @ 1.63% ( 0.17) 2-5 @ 1.18% ( 0.04) 3-4 @ 1.02% ( -0.03) Other @ 3.64% Total : 62.07%