DFB-Pokal | First Round
Aug 19, 2024 at 5pm UK
Stadion Oberwerth
Wolfsburg

Koblenz
0 - 1
Wolfsburg


Zeghli (17'), von der Bracke (80'), Blagojevic (82'), Tuchscherer (88'), Grgic (90')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Wimmer (15')
Bornauw (25'), Svanberg (77')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's DFB-Pokal clash between Koblenz and Wolfsburg, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Koblenz

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Last Game: Koblenz 2-1 Alemannia Aachen
Sunday, July 28 at 1pm in Club Friendlies 3
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Wolfsburg

All competitions
Last Game: Brentford 4-4 Wolfsburg
Friday, August 9 at 7.45pm in Club Friendlies 3

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wolfsburg win with a probability of 86.94%. A draw had a probability of 8.8% and a win for Koblenz had a probability of 4.23%.

The most likely scoreline for a Wolfsburg win was 0-3 with a probability of 11.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.01%) and 0-4 (9.34%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (4.06%), while for a Koblenz win it was 2-1 (1.38%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Wolfsburg would win this match.

Result
KoblenzDrawWolfsburg
4.23% (-0.037999999999999 -0.04)8.82% (0.010000000000002 0.01)86.94% (0.022999999999996 0.02)
Both teams to score 47.49% (-0.469 -0.47)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
76.52% (-0.32899999999999 -0.33)23.47% (0.324 0.32)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
57.1% (-0.439 -0.44)42.9% (0.434 0.43)
Koblenz Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
49.23% (-0.462 -0.46)50.77% (0.457 0.46)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
14.81% (-0.317 -0.32)85.18% (0.31099999999999 0.31)
Wolfsburg Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
96.47% (-0.052999999999997 -0.05)3.53% (0.0471 0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
84.67% (-0.163 -0.16)15.32% (0.156 0.16)
Score Analysis
    Koblenz 4.23%
    Wolfsburg 86.93%
    Draw 8.82%
KoblenzDrawWolfsburg
2-1 @ 1.38% (-0.011 -0.01)
1-0 @ 1.21% (0.011 0.01)
Other @ 1.64%
Total : 4.23%
1-1 @ 4.06% (0.021 0.02)
2-2 @ 2.3% (-0.028 -0.03)
0-0 @ 1.79% (0.04 0.04)
Other @ 0.67%
Total : 8.82%
0-3 @ 11.16% (0.11 0.11)
0-2 @ 10.01% (0.14 0.14)
0-4 @ 9.34% (0.059999999999999 0.06)
1-3 @ 7.57% (-0.021 -0.02)
1-2 @ 6.79% (0.008 0.01)
1-4 @ 6.33% (-0.044 -0.04)
0-5 @ 6.25% (0.015 0.01)
0-1 @ 5.99% (0.109 0.11)
1-5 @ 4.24% (-0.045999999999999 -0.05)
0-6 @ 3.48% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
2-3 @ 2.57% (-0.042 -0.04)
1-6 @ 2.36% (-0.035 -0.03)
2-4 @ 2.15% (-0.043 -0.04)
0-7 @ 1.67% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
2-5 @ 1.44% (-0.035 -0.04)
1-7 @ 1.13% (-0.022 -0.02)
Other @ 4.48%
Total : 86.93%

How you voted: Koblenz vs Wolfsburg

Koblenz
17.2%
Draw
3.4%
Wolfsburg
79.3%
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