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Bundesliga | Gameweek 31
Apr 27, 2024 at 2.30pm UK
Schwarzwald-Stadion
Wolfsburg

Freiburg
1 - 2
Wolfsburg

Bornauw (41' og.)
Gregoritsch (55'), Sallai (67'), Hofler (73'), Holer (90+2')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Arnold (82'), Lacroix (90')
Arnold (62'), Bornauw (90+3')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Freiburg and Wolfsburg, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Freiburg

All competitions
Bundesliga
Last Game: Freiburg 1-1 Mainz
Sunday, April 21 at 6.30pm in Bundesliga

Wolfsburg

All competitions
Last Game: Wolfsburg 1-0 VfL Bochum
Saturday, April 20 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Freiburg win with a probability of 40.87%. A win for Wolfsburg had a probability of 35.44% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Freiburg win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.14%) and 2-0 (5.8%). The likeliest Wolfsburg win was 1-2 (8.03%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.7%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8% likelihood.

Result
FreiburgDrawWolfsburg
40.87% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)23.69% (0.0019999999999989 0)35.44% (-0.010000000000005 -0.01)
Both teams to score 62.41% (-0.0069999999999979 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
60.45% (-0.010999999999996 -0.01)39.55% (0.0080000000000027 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
38.1% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)61.9% (0.0080000000000027 0.01)
Freiburg Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.33% (-0.00099999999999056 -0)19.67% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.34% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)51.65% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)
Wolfsburg Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.69% (-0.01100000000001 -0.01)22.31% (0.0079999999999991 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.22% (-0.014000000000003 -0.01)55.77% (0.012 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Freiburg 40.87%
    Wolfsburg 35.44%
    Draw 23.68%
FreiburgDrawWolfsburg
2-1 @ 8.7% (0.00099999999999945 0)
1-0 @ 7.14% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-0 @ 5.8% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-1 @ 4.72%
3-2 @ 3.54%
3-0 @ 3.14% (0.0010000000000003 0)
4-1 @ 1.92% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-2 @ 1.44% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
4-0 @ 1.28%
Other @ 3.2%
Total : 40.87%
1-1 @ 10.7%
2-2 @ 6.53% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
0-0 @ 4.39% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-3 @ 1.77%
Other @ 0.3%
Total : 23.68%
1-2 @ 8.03% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
0-1 @ 6.58% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-2 @ 4.94% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
1-3 @ 4.02% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
2-3 @ 3.27% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
0-3 @ 2.47% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
1-4 @ 1.51% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
2-4 @ 1.22% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
0-4 @ 0.93% (-0.001 -0)
Other @ 2.48%
Total : 35.44%

How you voted: Freiburg vs Wolfsburg

Freiburg
70.0%
Draw
20.0%
Wolfsburg
10.0%
30
Head to Head
Dec 9, 2023 2.30pm
Gameweek 14
Wolfsburg
0-1
Freiburg

Arnold (85')
Gregoritsch (74')
Hofler (57'), Sallai (77'), Rohl (85'), Holer (86')
> Preview
May 19, 2023 7.30pm
Gameweek 33
Freiburg
2-0
Wolfsburg
Gunter (71'), Petersen (75')
Sallai (31')
Hofler (90+2')

Wind (39'), Wimmer (54'), Gerhardt (67')
> Preview
Jan 21, 2023 2.30pm
Gameweek 16
Wolfsburg
6-0
Freiburg
Wimmer (1'), Wind (28', 37'), Gerhardt (56'), Baku (80'), Waldschmidt (90+4' pen.)
> Preview
Mar 12, 2022 2.30pm
Gameweek 26
Freiburg
3-2
Wolfsburg
Grifo (7', 44'), Schlotterbeck (87')
Schlotterbeck (55'), Haberer (64')
Kruse (52'), Arnold (84')
> Preview
Oct 23, 2021 2.30pm
Gameweek 9
Wolfsburg
0-2
Freiburg

Steffen (7'), Guilavogui (26'), Mbabu (71')
Lienhart (27'), Holer (68')
> Preview