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Bundesliga | Gameweek 31
Apr 27, 2024 at 2.30pm UK
Schwarzwald-Stadion
Wolfsburg

Freiburg
1 - 2
Wolfsburg

Bornauw (41' og.)
Gregoritsch (55'), Sallai (67'), Hofler (73'), Holer (90+2')
Sildillia (64')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Arnold (82'), Lacroix (90')
Arnold (62'), Bornauw (90+3')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Freiburg and Wolfsburg, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Freiburg 1-1 Mainz
Sunday, April 21 at 6.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Wolfsburg 1-0 VfL Bochum
Saturday, April 20 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

We said: Freiburg 2-1 Wolfsburg

While Freiburg have experienced a slight dip in home form lately, it is worth pointing out that five of their last six games at Europa-Park Stadion were against sides in the top six of the Bundesliga standings. We expect the hosts to put on a much better showing this week and feel they will emerge with the points from this match. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Freiburg win with a probability of 40.87%. A win for Wolfsburg had a probability of 35.44% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Freiburg win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.14%) and 2-0 (5.8%). The likeliest Wolfsburg win was 1-2 (8.03%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.7%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8% likelihood.

Result
FreiburgDrawWolfsburg
40.87% (0.0060000000000002 0.01) 23.69% (0.0019999999999989 0) 35.44% (-0.010000000000005 -0.01)
Both teams to score 62.41% (-0.0069999999999979 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
60.45% (-0.010999999999996 -0.01)39.55% (0.0080000000000027 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
38.1% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)61.9% (0.0080000000000027 0.01)
Freiburg Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.33% (-0.00099999999999056 -0)19.67% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.34% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)51.65% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)
Wolfsburg Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.69% (-0.01100000000001 -0.01)22.31% (0.0079999999999991 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.22% (-0.014000000000003 -0.01)55.77% (0.012 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Freiburg 40.87%
    Wolfsburg 35.44%
    Draw 23.68%
FreiburgDrawWolfsburg
2-1 @ 8.7% (0.00099999999999945 0)
1-0 @ 7.14% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-0 @ 5.8% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-1 @ 4.72%
3-2 @ 3.54%
3-0 @ 3.14% (0.0010000000000003 0)
4-1 @ 1.92% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-2 @ 1.44% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
4-0 @ 1.28%
Other @ 3.2%
Total : 40.87%
1-1 @ 10.7%
2-2 @ 6.53% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
0-0 @ 4.39% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-3 @ 1.77%
Other @ 0.3%
Total : 23.68%
1-2 @ 8.03% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
0-1 @ 6.58% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-2 @ 4.94% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
1-3 @ 4.02% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
2-3 @ 3.27% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
0-3 @ 2.47% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
1-4 @ 1.51% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
2-4 @ 1.22% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
0-4 @ 0.93% (-0.001 -0)
Other @ 2.48%
Total : 35.44%

How you voted: Freiburg vs Wolfsburg

Freiburg
70.0%
Draw
20.0%
Wolfsburg
10.0%
30
Head to Head
Dec 9, 2023 2.30pm
Gameweek 14
Wolfsburg
0-1
Freiburg

Arnold (85')
Gregoritsch (74')
Hofler (57'), Sallai (77'), Rohl (85'), Holer (86')
May 19, 2023 7.30pm
Gameweek 33
Freiburg
2-0
Wolfsburg
Gunter (71'), Petersen (75')
Sallai (31')
Hofler (90+2')

Wind (39'), Wimmer (54'), Gerhardt (67')
Jan 21, 2023 2.30pm
Gameweek 16
Wolfsburg
6-0
Freiburg
Wimmer (1'), Wind (28', 37'), Gerhardt (56'), Baku (80'), Waldschmidt (90+4' pen.)
Mar 12, 2022 2.30pm
Gameweek 26
Freiburg
3-2
Wolfsburg
Grifo (7', 44'), Schlotterbeck (87')
Schlotterbeck (55'), Haberer (64')
Kruse (52'), Arnold (84')
Oct 23, 2021 2.30pm
Gameweek 9
Wolfsburg
0-2
Freiburg

Steffen (7'), Guilavogui (26'), Mbabu (71')
Lienhart (27'), Holer (68')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CBayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen31256077225581
2Bayern MunichBayern31223689385169
3Stuttgart31204770383264
4RB Leipzig31195773353862
5Borussia DortmundDortmund31169659392057
6Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt31111284742545
7Freiburg31117134355-1240
8Augsburg31109124852-439
9Hoffenheim31116145563-839
10Heidenheim31910124452-837
11Werder Bremen31107144150-937
12Wolfsburg3197153751-1434
13Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach31711135360-732
14Union BerlinUnion Berlin3186172650-2430
15VfL BochumVfL Bochum31612133762-2530
16Mainz 05Mainz31513133249-1728
17FC Koln31411162454-3023
RSV Darmstadt 98Darmstadt3138203073-4317


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