Bundesliga

Bundesliga | Gameweek 5

Sep 28, 2024 at 5.30pm UK

Allianz Arena

Bayern
1 - 1
B. Leverkusen

Pavlovic (39')
Upamecano (23')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Andrich (31')
Alonso (23'), Andrich (32'), Wirtz (57'), Grimaldo (71')

Reaction

Bayern Munich's Harry Kane goes down with an injury on September 28, 2024

England suffer Harry Kane injury scare as Vincent Kompany provides update

Bayern Munich and England suffer an untimely scare over the fitness of Harry Kane, who is forced off injured against Bayer Leverkusen.

Sep 28, 22:15

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Bayern Munich and Bayer Leverkusen, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Bayern Munich

All competitions

Bundesliga

Last Game: Werder Bremen 0-5 Bayern
Saturday, September 21 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Bayer Leverkusen

All competitions

Bundesliga

Last Game: B. Leverkusen 4-3 Wolfsburg
Sunday, September 22 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayern Munich win with a probability of 48.47%. A win for Bayer Leverkusen had a probability of 28.31% and a draw had a probability of 23.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bayern Munich win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.11%) and 2-0 (7.21%). The likeliest Bayer Leverkusen win was 1-2 (6.96%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.62%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.6% likelihood.

Result
Bayern Munich	Draw	Bayer Leverkusen
48.47% ( -4.19)	23.22% ( 1.24)	28.31% ( 2.95)

Both teams to score 60.66% (

-1.74)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

59.6% (

-3.47)

40.4% (

3.47)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

37.22% (

-3.67)

62.77% (

3.67)

Bayern Munich Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.09% (

-2.72)

16.9% (

2.72)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

53.04% (

-5.06)

46.95% (

5.06)

Bayer Leverkusen Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73% (

0.28)

26.99% (

-0.29)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.65% (

0.37)

62.34% (

-0.37)

Score Analysis

Bayern Munich 48.47%

Bayer Leverkusen 28.31%

Draw 23.22%

Bayern Munich	Draw	Bayer Leverkusen
2-1 @ 9.44% ( -0.15) 1-0 @ 8.11% ( 0.55) 2-0 @ 7.21% ( -0.17) 3-1 @ 5.59% ( -0.65) 3-0 @ 4.27% ( -0.53) 3-2 @ 3.66% ( -0.39) 4-1 @ 2.49% ( -0.56) 4-0 @ 1.9% ( -0.45) 4-2 @ 1.63% ( -0.35) Other @ 4.16% Total : 48.47%	1-1 @ 10.62% ( 0.8) 2-2 @ 6.18% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 4.56% ( 0.69) 3-3 @ 1.6% ( -0.16) Other @ 0.26% Total : 23.22%	1-2 @ 6.96% ( 0.58) 0-1 @ 5.98% ( 0.95) 0-2 @ 3.91% ( 0.65) 1-3 @ 3.04% ( 0.27) 2-3 @ 2.7% ( 0) 0-3 @ 1.71% ( 0.29) 1-4 @ 0.99% ( 0.1) Other @ 3.03% Total : 28.31%