Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Feyenoord win with a probability of 42.85%. A win for Bayer Leverkusen had a probability of 34.14% and a draw had a probability of 23%.
The most likely scoreline for a Feyenoord win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.6%) and 2-0 (5.74%). The likeliest Bayer Leverkusen win was 1-2 (7.75%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.11%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 0.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Bayer Leverkusen would win this match.