Bundesliga

Bundesliga | Gameweek 3

Sep 14, 2024 at 2.30pm UK

Campo La Quinta

Hoffenheim
1 - 4
B. Leverkusen

Berisha (37')
Prass (35'), Matarazzo (61'), Akpoguma (90+1')

FT(HT: 1-2)

Terrier (17'), Boniface (30', 75'), Wirtz (72' pen.)
Terrier (39'), Andrich (51')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Hoffenheim and Bayer Leverkusen, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Hoffenheim

All competitions

Bundesliga

Last Game: Frankfurt 3-1 Hoffenheim
Saturday, August 31 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Bayer Leverkusen

All competitions

Bundesliga

Last Game: B. Leverkusen 2-3 RB Leipzig
Saturday, August 31 at 5.30pm in Bundesliga

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayer Leverkusen win with a probability of 46.13%. A win for Hoffenheim had a probability of 32.05% and a draw had a probability of 21.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bayer Leverkusen win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-3 (5.67%) and 0-1 (5.63%). The likeliest Hoffenheim win was 2-1 (7.19%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.99%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bayer Leverkusen would win this match.

Result
Hoffenheim	Draw	Bayer Leverkusen
32.05% ( -1.16)	21.82% ( -0.16)	46.13% ( 1.32)

Both teams to score 68.35% (

0.07)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

68.69% (

0.3)

31.31% (

-0.3)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

47.24% (

0.35)

52.75% (

-0.36)

Hoffenheim Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.76% (

-0.46)

20.23% (

0.45)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

47.43% (

-0.73)

52.56% (

0.73)

Bayer Leverkusen Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

85.69% (

0.57)

14.31% (

-0.57)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

57.87% (

1.1)

42.12% (

-1.11)

Score Analysis

Hoffenheim 32.05%

Bayer Leverkusen 46.13%

Draw 21.82%

Hoffenheim	Draw	Bayer Leverkusen
2-1 @ 7.19% ( -0.18) 1-0 @ 4.63% ( -0.14) 3-1 @ 3.83% ( -0.15) 3-2 @ 3.72% ( -0.07) 2-0 @ 3.7% ( -0.17) 3-0 @ 1.97% ( -0.12) 4-1 @ 1.53% ( -0.08) 4-2 @ 1.49% ( -0.05) 4-3 @ 0.96% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.05% Total : 32.05%	1-1 @ 8.99% ( -0.09) 2-2 @ 6.99% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 2.89% ( -0.05) 3-3 @ 2.41% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.53% Total : 21.82%	1-2 @ 8.74% ( 0.09) 1-3 @ 5.67% ( 0.17) 0-1 @ 5.63% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 5.47% ( 0.13) 2-3 @ 4.53% ( 0.07) 0-3 @ 3.55% ( 0.16) 1-4 @ 2.76% ( 0.14) 2-4 @ 2.2% ( 0.08) 0-4 @ 1.73% ( 0.11) 3-4 @ 1.17% ( 0.03) 1-5 @ 1.07% ( 0.07) Other @ 3.62% Total : 46.13%