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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Feyenoord win with a probability of 49.1%. A win for Groningen had a probability of 28.17% and a draw had a probability of 22.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Feyenoord win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.57%) and 0-2 (6.98%). The likeliest Groningen win was 2-1 (6.89%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.21%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Groningen | Draw | Feyenoord |
| 28.17% ( | 22.73% ( | 49.1% ( |
| Both teams to score 62.33% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 61.85% ( | 38.15% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 39.57% ( | 60.42% ( |
| Groningen Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.05% ( | 25.95% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.05% ( | 60.95% ( |
| Feyenoord Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.17% ( | 15.83% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 54.99% ( | 45.01% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Groningen | Draw | Feyenoord |
| 2-1 @ 6.89% ( 1-0 @ 5.54% ( 2-0 @ 3.74% ( 3-1 @ 3.1% ( 3-2 @ 2.86% 3-0 @ 1.68% ( 4-1 @ 1.05% ( 4-2 @ 0.96% Other @ 2.35% Total : 28.17% | 1-1 @ 10.21% 2-2 @ 6.35% 0-0 @ 4.11% ( 3-3 @ 1.76% Other @ 0.3% Total : 22.73% | 1-2 @ 9.41% ( 0-1 @ 7.57% ( 0-2 @ 6.98% ( 1-3 @ 5.78% ( 0-3 @ 4.29% ( 2-3 @ 3.9% ( 1-4 @ 2.67% ( 0-4 @ 1.98% ( 2-4 @ 1.8% ( 1-5 @ 0.98% ( Other @ 3.75% Total : 49.1% |