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Eredivisie | Gameweek 4
Aug 31, 2024 at 3.30pm UK
Yanmar Stadion
Groningen

Almere City
1 - 1
Groningen

Guillaume (8')
Akujobi (18')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Bacuna (67')
Stam (53'), Peersman (60')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Eredivisie clash between Almere City and Groningen, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Almere City

All competitions
Eredivisie
Last Game: Almere City 1-7 PSV
Saturday, August 24 at 7pm in Eredivisie

Groningen

All competitions
Eredivisie
Last Game: Groningen 0-0 AZ
Sunday, August 25 at 11.15am in Eredivisie

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Groningen win with a probability of 64.76%. A draw had a probability of 20.5% and a win for Almere City had a probability of 14.73%.

The most likely scoreline for a Groningen win was 0-2 with a probability of 11.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (11.65%) and 1-2 (9.81%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.76%), while for an Almere City win it was 1-0 (4.85%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood.

Result
Almere CityDrawGroningen
14.73% (0.058 0.06)20.51% (0.048000000000002 0.05)64.76% (-0.114 -0.11)
Both teams to score 49.11% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.19% (-0.092999999999996 -0.09)45.81% (0.085000000000001 0.09)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.88% (-0.088000000000001 -0.09)68.12% (0.078999999999994 0.08)
Almere City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
56.7% (0.025999999999996 0.03)43.3% (-0.034999999999997 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
20.46% (0.025000000000002 0.03)79.54% (-0.033000000000001 -0.03)
Groningen Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.62% (-0.064000000000007 -0.06)13.38% (0.057 0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
59.7% (-0.125 -0.13)40.3% (0.11499999999999 0.11)
Score Analysis
    Almere City 14.73%
    Groningen 64.75%
    Draw 20.51%
Almere CityDrawGroningen
1-0 @ 4.85% (0.021999999999999 0.02)
2-1 @ 4.08% (0.013 0.01)
2-0 @ 2.03% (0.011 0.01)
3-2 @ 1.15% (0.002 0)
3-1 @ 1.14% (0.0050000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 1.49%
Total : 14.73%
1-1 @ 9.76% (0.023000000000001 0.02)
0-0 @ 5.8% (0.021 0.02)
2-2 @ 4.11% (0.0040000000000004 0)
Other @ 0.85%
Total : 20.51%
0-2 @ 11.72%
0-1 @ 11.65% (0.02 0.02)
1-2 @ 9.81% (0.00099999999999945 0)
0-3 @ 7.86% (-0.023 -0.02)
1-3 @ 6.58% (-0.014 -0.01)
0-4 @ 3.95% (-0.021 -0.02)
1-4 @ 3.31% (-0.015 -0.02)
2-3 @ 2.75% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-5 @ 1.59% (-0.012 -0.01)
2-4 @ 1.38% (-0.004 -0)
1-5 @ 1.33% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
Other @ 2.83%
Total : 64.75%

How you voted: Almere City vs Groningen

Almere City
18.5%
Draw
7.4%
Groningen
74.1%
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