Eredivisie | Gameweek 3

Aug 25, 2024 at 11.15am UK

Euroborg

Groningen
0 - 0
AZ

Bacuna (28'), Postema (34'), Stam (74')

Goes (23')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Eredivisie clash between Groningen and AZ Alkmaar, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Groningen

All competitions

Eredivisie

Last Game: RKC Waalwijk 1-2 Groningen
Saturday, August 17 at 8pm in Eredivisie

Goals
for

AZ Alkmaar

All competitions

Eredivisie

Last Game: AZ 1-0 Nijmegen
Saturday, August 17 at 7pm in Eredivisie

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Groningen win with a probability of 39.48%. A win for AZ Alkmaar had a probability of 35.16% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Groningen win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.6%) and 2-0 (6.41%). The likeliest AZ Alkmaar win was 0-1 (8.34%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.97%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood.

Result
Groningen	Draw	AZ Alkmaar
39.48% ( -0.84)	25.36% ( 0.41)	35.16% ( 0.43)

Both teams to score 56.3% (

-1.37)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

52.54% (

-1.81)

47.46% (

1.81)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

30.33% (

-1.7)

69.67% (

1.7)

Groningen Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.23% (

-1.22)

23.77% (

1.22)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

42.07% (

-1.79)

57.92% (

1.79)

AZ Alkmaar Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.86% (

-0.6)

26.14% (

0.61)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.79% (

-0.82)

61.21% (

0.82)

Score Analysis

Groningen 39.48%

AZ Alkmaar 35.16%

Draw 25.35%

Groningen	Draw	AZ Alkmaar
1-0 @ 8.93% ( 0.35) 2-1 @ 8.6% ( -0.12) 2-0 @ 6.41% ( 0.03) 3-1 @ 4.12% ( -0.21) 3-0 @ 3.07% ( -0.1) 3-2 @ 2.76% ( -0.19) 4-1 @ 1.48% ( -0.13) 4-0 @ 1.1% ( -0.08) 4-2 @ 0.99% ( -0.11) Other @ 2% Total : 39.48%	1-1 @ 11.97% ( 0.27) 0-0 @ 6.21% ( 0.46) 2-2 @ 5.77% ( -0.18) 3-3 @ 1.24% ( -0.11) Other @ 0.16% Total : 25.35%	0-1 @ 8.34% ( 0.48) 1-2 @ 8.04% ( 0.04) 0-2 @ 5.59% ( 0.23) 1-3 @ 3.59% ( -0.04) 2-3 @ 2.58% ( -0.13) 0-3 @ 2.5% ( 0.06) 1-4 @ 1.21% ( -0.04) Other @ 3.31% Total : 35.16%