Bundesliga

Bundesliga | Gameweek 4

Sep 21, 2024 at 2.30pm UK

wohninvest WESERSTADION (Bremen)

Werder Bremen
0 - 5
Bayern

FT(HT: 0-2)

Olise (23', 60'), Musiala (32'), Kane (57'), Gnabry (65')
Laimer (38'), Pavlovic (77'), Upamecano (77')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Werder Bremen and Bayern Munich, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Werder Bremen

All competitions

Bundesliga

Last Game: Mainz 1-2 Werder Bremen
Sunday, September 15 at 4.30pm in Bundesliga

Goals
for

Bayern Munich

All competitions

Bundesliga

Last Game: Bayern 9-2 Dinamo Zagreb
Tuesday, September 17 at 8pm in Champions League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayern Munich win with a probability of 67.11%. A draw had a probability of 17.4% and a win for Werder Bremen had a probability of 15.49%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bayern Munich win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.16%) and 1-3 (7.81%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.44%), while for a Werder Bremen win it was 2-1 (4.25%). The actual scoreline of 0-5 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bayern Munich would win this match.

Result
Werder Bremen	Draw	Bayern Munich
15.49% ( 0.17)	17.4% ( 0.11)	67.11% ( -0.28)

Both teams to score 62.58% (

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

70.65% (

-0.18)

29.35% (

0.19)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

49.59% (

-0.23)

50.4% (

0.23)

Werder Bremen Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.11% (

0.08)

31.88% (

-0.07)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.67% (

0.09)

68.33% (

-0.08)

Bayern Munich Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

91.87% (

-0.1)

8.13% (

0.11)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

71.47% (

-0.27)

28.53% (

0.27)

Score Analysis

Werder Bremen 15.49%

Bayern Munich 67.11%

Draw 17.4%

Werder Bremen	Draw	Bayern Munich
2-1 @ 4.25% ( 0.04) 1-0 @ 2.96% ( 0.04) 3-2 @ 2.03% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 1.69% ( 0.03) 3-1 @ 1.62% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.93% Total : 15.49%	1-1 @ 7.44% ( 0.06) 2-2 @ 5.33% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 2.59% ( 0.03) 3-3 @ 1.7% ( 0) Other @ 0.34% Total : 17.4%	1-2 @ 9.33% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 8.16% ( 0) 1-3 @ 7.81% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 6.83% ( -0.03) 0-1 @ 6.5% ( 0.04) 1-4 @ 4.9% ( -0.04) 2-3 @ 4.46% ( -0) 0-4 @ 4.29% ( -0.04) 2-4 @ 2.8% ( -0.02) 1-5 @ 2.46% ( -0.03) 0-5 @ 2.15% ( -0.03) 2-5 @ 1.41% ( -0.02) 3-4 @ 1.07% ( -0) 1-6 @ 1.03% ( -0.02) Other @ 3.92% Total : 67.11%