Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Werder Bremen win with a probability of 47.58%. A win for Energie Cottbus had a probability of 29.67% and a draw had a probability of 22.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Werder Bremen win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.19%) and 0-2 (6.58%). The likeliest Energie Cottbus win was 2-1 (7.11%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.11%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Werder Bremen would win this match.

Result
Energie Cottbus	Draw	Werder Bremen
29.67% ( -0.28)	22.75% ( 0.01)	47.58% ( 0.27)

Both teams to score 63.39% (

-0.22)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

62.77% (

-0.21)

37.23% (

0.21)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

40.56% (

-0.23)

59.44% (

0.23)

Energie Cottbus Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.49% (

-0.28)

24.5% (

0.28)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

41.03% (

-0.4)

58.96% (

0.39)

Werder Bremen Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.96% (

0.02)

16.03% (

-0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

54.61% (

0.04)

45.38% (

-0.04)

Score Analysis

Energie Cottbus 29.67%

Werder Bremen 47.58%

Draw 22.74%

Energie Cottbus	Draw	Werder Bremen
2-1 @ 7.11% ( -0.04) 1-0 @ 5.53% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 3.89% ( -0.02) 3-1 @ 3.33% ( -0.04) 3-2 @ 3.05% ( -0.04) 3-0 @ 1.82% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 1.17% ( -0.03) 4-2 @ 1.07% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.7% Total : 29.67%	1-1 @ 10.11% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 6.51% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 3.93% ( 0.04) 3-3 @ 1.86% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.33% Total : 22.74%	1-2 @ 9.26% ( 0.03) 0-1 @ 7.19% ( 0.08) 0-2 @ 6.58% ( 0.08) 1-3 @ 5.65% ( 0.02) 0-3 @ 4.02% ( 0.05) 2-3 @ 3.97% ( -0.02) 1-4 @ 2.58% ( 0.01) 0-4 @ 1.84% ( 0.02) 2-4 @ 1.82% ( -0.01) 1-5 @ 0.95% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.73% Total : 47.58%