DFB-Pokal
Aug 19, 2024 5.00pm
1
3
HT : 0 2
FT Stadion der Freundschaft
  • Maximilian Pronichev 53' yellowcard
  • Henry Rorig 70' goal
  • Filip Kusic 71' yellowcard
  • Romario Hajrulla 78' redcard
  • goal Keke Topp 32'
  • goal Keke Topp 37'
  • yellowcard Niklas Stark 47'
  • goal Keke Topp 55'
  • yellowcard Justin Njinmah 77'

Energie Cottbus vs Werder Bremen - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Energie Cottbus

All competitions

Werder Bremen

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Werder Bremen win with a probability of 47.58%. A win for Energie Cottbus had a probability of 29.67% and a draw had a probability of 22.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Werder Bremen win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.19%) and 0-2 (6.58%). The likeliest Energie Cottbus win was 2-1 (7.11%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.11%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Werder Bremen would win this match.

Result

Energie Cottbus 29.67% (-0.29)
Draw 22.75% (+0.02)
Werder Bremen 47.58% (+0.28)

Both Teams to Score: 

63.39% (-0.22)

Goals

Over 2.5 62.77% (-0.22)
Under 2.5 37.23% (+0.22)
Over 3.5 40.56% (-0.23)
Under 3.5 59.44% (+0.23)
Over 4.5 22.59% (-0.19)
Under 4.5 77.41% (+0.19)

Energie Cottbus Goals

Over 0.5 75.49% (-0.28)
Under 0.5 24.5% (+0.29)
Over 1.5 41.03% (-0.40)
Under 1.5 58.96% (+0.40)

Werder Bremen Goals

Over 0.5 83.96% (+0.03)
Under 0.5 16.03% (-0.03)
Over 1.5 54.61% (+0.04)
Under 1.5 45.38% (-0.04)

Score analysis

Energie Cottbus 29.67%
Draw 22.74%
Werder Bremen 47.58%
Energie Cottbus
2-1 @ 7.11% (-0.04)
1-0 @ 5.53% (+0.02)
2-0 @ 3.89% (-0.03)
3-1 @ 3.33% (-0.05)
3-2 @ 3.05% (-0.05)
3-0 @ 1.82% (-0.03)
4-1 @ 1.17% (-0.03)
4-2 @ 1.07% (-0.03)
Other @ 2.7%
Total : 29.67%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.11% (+0.03)
2-2 @ 6.51% (-0.03)
0-0 @ 3.93% (+0.05)
3-3 @ 1.86% (-0.03)
Other @ 0.33%
Total : 22.74%
Werder Bremen
1-2 @ 9.26% (+0.04)
0-1 @ 7.19% (+0.08)
0-2 @ 6.58% (+0.08)
1-3 @ 5.65% (+0.03)
0-3 @ 4.02% (+0.05)
2-3 @ 3.97% (-0.02)
1-4 @ 2.58% (+0.02)
0-4 @ 1.84% (+0.03)
2-4 @ 1.82% (-0.01)
Other @ 4.67%
Total : 47.58%

Head to Head

DFB-Pokal
Aug 1, 2022 5.01pm
1
2
HT : 0 1
FT
  • Tim Heike 79' goal
  • goal Romano Schmid 43'
  • yellowcard Amos Pieper 72'
  • goal Mitchell Weiser 73'
  • yellowcard Christian Gross 85'