Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Werder Bremen win with a probability of 47.58%. A win for Energie Cottbus had a probability of 29.67% and a draw had a probability of 22.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Werder Bremen win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.19%) and 0-2 (6.58%). The likeliest Energie Cottbus win was 2-1 (7.11%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.11%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Werder Bremen would win this match.