Bundesliga
Gameweek
3
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-
Lee Jae-sung
27'
-
Anthony Caci
45'
-
Dominik Kohr
45'+1'
-
Phillipp Mwene
66'
-
Marvin Ducksch
8'
-
Michael Zetterer
60'
-
Marco Friedl
60'
-
Derrick Kohn
69'
Mainz 05 vs Werder Bremen - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
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Form, Standings, Stats
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mainz 05 win with a probability of 54.76%. A win for Werder Bremen had a probability of 22.62% and a draw had a probability of 22.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Mainz 05 win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.47%) and 2-0 (8.82%). The likeliest Werder Bremen win was 1-2 (5.91%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.57%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood.
Result
Mainz 05
54.76%
▲
(+1.03)
Draw
22.61%
▼
(-0.23)
Werder Bremen
22.62%
▼
(-0.81)
Both Teams to Score:
56.81%
▼
(-0.29)
Goals
Over 2.5
57.18%
▲
(+0.11)
Under 2.5
42.81%
▼
(-0.11)
Over 3.5
34.78%
▲
(+0.11)
Under 3.5
65.21%
▼
(-0.11)
Over 4.5
18.1%
▲
(+0.09)
Under 4.5
81.89%
▼
(-0.09)
Mainz 05 Goals
Over 0.5
84.45%
▲
(+0.39)
Under 0.5
15.55%
▼
(-0.39)
Over 1.5
55.51%
▲
(+0.72)
Under 1.5
44.48%
▼
(-0.72)
Werder Bremen Goals
Over 0.5
67.26%
▼
(-0.65)
Under 0.5
32.73%
▲
(+0.65)
Over 1.5
30.71%
▼
(-0.73)
Under 1.5
69.29%
▲
(+0.73)
Score analysis
Mainz 05
54.76%
Draw
22.61%
Werder Bremen
22.62%
Mainz 05
2-1
@
9.85%
▲
(+0.05)
1-0 @ 9.47% ▲ (+0.09)
2-0 @ 8.82% ▲ (+0.20)
3-1 @ 6.11% ▲ (+0.11)
3-0 @ 5.47% ▲ (+0.19)
3-2 @ 3.41%
4-1 @ 2.84% ▲ (+0.09)
4-0 @ 2.55% ▲ (+0.13)
4-2 @ 1.59% ▲ (+0.03)
5-1 @ 1.06% ▲ (+0.05)
Other @ 3.61%
Total : 54.76%
1-0 @ 9.47% ▲ (+0.09)
2-0 @ 8.82% ▲ (+0.20)
3-1 @ 6.11% ▲ (+0.11)
3-0 @ 5.47% ▲ (+0.19)
3-2 @ 3.41%
4-1 @ 2.84% ▲ (+0.09)
4-0 @ 2.55% ▲ (+0.13)
4-2 @ 1.59% ▲ (+0.03)
5-1 @ 1.06% ▲ (+0.05)
Other @ 3.61%
Total : 54.76%
Draw
1-1
@
10.57%
▼
(-0.10)
2-2 @ 5.5% ▼ (-0.08)
0-0 @ 5.09% ▼ (-0.03)
3-3 @ 1.27% ▼ (-0.03)
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 22.61%
2-2 @ 5.5% ▼ (-0.08)
0-0 @ 5.09% ▼ (-0.03)
3-3 @ 1.27% ▼ (-0.03)
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 22.61%
Werder Bremen
1-2
@
5.91%
▼
(-0.17)
0-1 @ 5.68% ▼ (-0.13)
0-2 @ 3.17% ▼ (-0.13)
1-3 @ 2.2% ▼ (-0.11)
2-3 @ 2.05% ▼ (-0.07)
0-3 @ 1.18% ▼ (-0.08)
Other @ 2.43%
Total : 22.62%
0-1 @ 5.68% ▼ (-0.13)
0-2 @ 3.17% ▼ (-0.13)
1-3 @ 2.2% ▼ (-0.11)
2-3 @ 2.05% ▼ (-0.07)
0-3 @ 1.18% ▼ (-0.08)
Other @ 2.43%
Total : 22.62%
Head to Head
Bundesliga
Gameweek
20
-
Tom Krauss
67'
-
Nadiem Amiri
79'
-
Marco Richter
87'
-
Anthony Caci
88'
-
Marvin Ducksch
2'
-
Niklas Stark
35'
-
Marco Friedl
45'
-
Leonardo Bittencourt
88'
Bundesliga
Gameweek
3
-
Marvin Ducksch
3'
-
Jens Stage
10'
-
Jens Stage
53'
-
Marco Friedl
55'
-
Leonardo Bittencourt
82'
-
Justin Njinmah
83'
-
Andreas Hanche-Olsen
2'
-
Sepp van den Berg
65'
-
Sepp van den Berg
65'+65'
Bundesliga
Gameweek
27
-
Ludovic Ajorque
85'
-
Nelson Weiper
90'+3'
-
Jens Stage
87'
-
Niclas Fullkrug
90'+5'
Bundesliga
Gameweek
10
-
Marcus Ingvartsen
36'
-
Lee Jae-sung
66'
Bundesliga
Gameweek
30
-
Joshua Sargent
63'
-
Adam Szalai
16'
-
Jean-Paul Boetius
66'
-
Robin Zentner
83'
Bundesliga
Gameweek
13
-
Leandro Barreiro
73'
-
Moussa Niakhate
82'
-
Maximilian Eggestein
50'
-
Eren Dinkci
90'
-
Christian Gross
90'+5'