Premier League

Premier League | Gameweek 9

Oct 26, 2024 at 3pm UK

Villa Park

Aston Villa
1 - 1
Bournemouth

Barkley (76')
Onana (4'), Tielemans (18'), Ramsey (41'), McGinn (55'), Digne (58'), Cash (90+4'), Barkley (90+6')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Evanilson (90+6')
Kluivert (10'), Araujo (21'), Smith (40'), Unal (45+1'), Semenyo (80'), Tavernier (90')

Reaction

Kepa Arrizabalaga in action for Bournemouth on August 31, 2024

Andoni Iraola explains why Kepa Arrizabalaga missed Bournemouth's draw with Aston Villa

Bournemouth head coach Andoni Iraola reveals the reason behind Kepa Arrizabalaga's absence from Saturday's draw against Aston Villa.

Oct 26, 23:22

The Match

Form, Standings, Stats

Aston Villa

All competitions

Premier League

Last Game: Aston Villa 2-0 Bologna
Tuesday, October 22 at 8pm in Champions League

Goals
for

Bournemouth

All competitions

Last Game: Bournemouth 2-0 Arsenal
Saturday, October 19 at 5.30pm in Premier League

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aston Villa win with a probability of 49.64%. A win for Bournemouth had a probability of 27.74% and a draw had a probability of 22.6%.

The most likely scoreline for an Aston Villa win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.57%) and 2-0 (7.04%). The likeliest Bournemouth win was 1-2 (6.81%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.15%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.2% likelihood.

Result
Aston Villa	Draw	Bournemouth
49.64% ( -0.03)	22.63% ( 0.02)	27.74% ( 0.01)

Both teams to score 62.35% (

-0.05)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

62.02% (

-0.07)

37.97% (

0.07)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

39.76% (

-0.08)

60.23% (

0.08)

Aston Villa Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

84.42% (

-0.04)

15.58% (

0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

55.45% (

-0.07)

44.54% (

0.07)

Bournemouth Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.85% (

-0.03)

26.15% (

0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.78% (

-0.04)

61.22% (

0.04)

Score Analysis

Aston Villa 49.64%

Bournemouth 27.74%

Draw 22.62%

Aston Villa	Draw	Bournemouth
2-1 @ 9.44% ( 0) 1-0 @ 7.57% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 7.04% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 5.85% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 4.36% ( -0) 3-2 @ 3.93% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 2.72% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 2.03% ( -0) 4-2 @ 1.83% ( -0.01) 5-1 @ 1.01% ( -0) Other @ 3.85% Total : 49.64%	1-1 @ 10.15% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 6.34% ( -0) 0-0 @ 4.07% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 1.76% ( -0) Other @ 0.3% Total : 22.62%	1-2 @ 6.81% ( 0) 0-1 @ 5.46% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 3.67% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 3.05% ( -0) 2-3 @ 2.83% ( -0) 0-3 @ 1.64% ( 0) 1-4 @ 1.02% ( -0) 2-4 @ 0.95% ( -0) Other @ 2.3% Total : 27.74%