Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Club Brugge win with a probability of 53.63%. A win for Aston Villa had a probability of 24.5% and a draw had a probability of 21.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Club Brugge win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.73%) and 2-0 (7.6%). The likeliest Aston Villa win was 1-2 (6.23%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.81%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Club Brugge would win this match.