Champions League
Oct 2, 2024 8.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 1
FT Worthersee Stadion
  • Emanuel Aiwu 51' yellowcard
  • Niklas Geyrhofer 66' yellowcard
  • Tochi Chukwuani 70' yellowcard
  • Malick Junior Yalcouye 71' yellowcard
  • Jusuf Gazibegovic 90'+4' yellowcard
  • goal Christos Tzolis 24'
  • yellowcard Michal Skoras 73'

Sturm Graz vs Club Brugge - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Sturm Graz

All competitions
Champions League
Last game
Sep 19, 2024 8.00pm
Brest 2 - 1 Sturm Graz

Club Brugge

All competitions
Champions League
Last game
Sep 18, 2024 8.00pm
Brugge 0 - 3 Dortmund

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Club Brugge win with a probability of 49.76%. A win for Sturm Graz had a probability of 27.83% and a draw had a probability of 22.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Club Brugge win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.28%) and 0-2 (6.88%). The likeliest Sturm Graz win was 2-1 (6.8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.95%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Club Brugge would win this match.

Result

Sturm Graz 27.83% (-0.04)
Draw 22.4% (-0.07)
Club Brugge 49.76% (+0.11)

Both Teams to Score: 

63.25% (+0.22)

Goals

Over 2.5 63.18% (+0.30)
Under 2.5 36.82% (-0.31)
Over 3.5 41.01% (+0.33)
Under 3.5 58.99% (-0.33)
Over 4.5 22.96% (+0.27)
Under 4.5 77.04% (-0.27)

Sturm Graz Goals

Over 0.5 74.51% (+0.13)
Under 0.5 25.48% (-0.14)
Over 1.5 39.68% (+0.19)
Under 1.5 60.32% (-0.19)

Club Brugge Goals

Over 0.5 84.89% (+0.15)
Under 0.5 15.11% (-0.15)
Over 1.5 56.33% (+0.28)
Under 1.5 43.67% (-0.28)

Score analysis

Sturm Graz 27.83%
Draw 22.4%
Club Brugge 49.76%
Sturm Graz
2-1 @ 6.8% (-0.02)
1-0 @ 5.27% (-0.06)
2-0 @ 3.6% (-0.03)
3-1 @ 3.1% (+0.01)
3-2 @ 2.93% (+0.02)
3-0 @ 1.64% (-0.01)
4-1 @ 1.06% (+0.01)
4-2 @ 1% (-98.00)
Other @ 2.44%
Total : 27.83%
Draw
1-1 @ 9.95% (-0.06)
2-2 @ 6.43% (+0.02)
0-0 @ 3.85% (-0.06)
3-3 @ 1.85% (+0.03)
Other @ 0.33%
Total : 22.4%
Club Brugge
1-2 @ 9.4% (-0.01)
0-1 @ 7.28% (-0.08)
0-2 @ 6.88% (-0.04)
1-3 @ 5.92% (+0.03)
0-3 @ 4.33% (+0.01)
2-3 @ 4.05% (+0.04)
1-4 @ 2.8% (+0.03)
0-4 @ 2.05% (+0.02)
2-4 @ 1.91% (+0.03)
1-5 @ 1.06% (+0.02)
Other @ 4.1%
Total : 49.76%