Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sturm Graz win with a probability of 58.38%. A draw had a probability of 21.7% and a win for WSG Swarovski Tirol had a probability of 19.94%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sturm Graz win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.62%) and 2-0 (9.42%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.14%), while for a WSG Swarovski Tirol win it was 1-2 (5.35%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 1.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sturm Graz would win this match.

Result
Sturm Graz	Draw	WSG Swarovski Tirol
58.38% ( -0.3)	21.67% ( 0.05)	19.94% ( 0.25)

Both teams to score 55.98% (

0.26)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

57.98% (

0.14)

42.02% (

-0.15)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

35.58% (

0.14)

64.42% (

-0.15)

Sturm Graz Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

85.9% (

-0.05)

14.1% (

0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

58.27% (

-0.09)

41.73% (

0.09)

WSG Swarovski Tirol Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

65.17% (

0.34)

34.83% (

-0.34)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

28.44% (

0.36)

71.56% (

-0.36)

Score Analysis

Sturm Graz 58.38%

WSG Swarovski Tirol 19.94%

Draw 21.67%

Sturm Graz	Draw	WSG Swarovski Tirol
2-1 @ 9.94% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 9.62% ( -0.08) 2-0 @ 9.42% ( -0.09) 3-1 @ 6.49% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 6.15% ( -0.07) 3-2 @ 3.42% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 3.18% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 3.01% ( -0.04) 4-2 @ 1.68% ( 0.01) 5-1 @ 1.25% ( -0.01) 5-0 @ 1.18% ( -0.02) Other @ 3.05% Total : 58.38%	1-1 @ 10.14% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 5.24% ( 0.05) 0-0 @ 4.91% ( -0.03) 3-3 @ 1.2% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.17% Total : 21.67%	1-2 @ 5.35% ( 0.06) 0-1 @ 5.18% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 2.73% ( 0.03) 1-3 @ 1.88% ( 0.04) 2-3 @ 1.84% ( 0.03) 0-3 @ 0.96% ( 0.02) Other @ 1.99% Total : 19.94%