Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wolfsberger win with a probability of 39.62%. A win for WSG Swarovski Tirol had a probability of 33.86% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Wolfsberger win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.49%) and 2-0 (6.94%). The likeliest WSG Swarovski Tirol win was 0-1 (9.37%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.6%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Wolfsberger would win this match.