Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sturm Graz win with a probability of 49.32%. A win for Hartberg had a probability of 26.83% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sturm Graz win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.3%) and 2-0 (7.96%). The likeliest Hartberg win was 1-2 (6.71%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.17%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Sturm Graz would win this match.

Result
Sturm Graz	Draw	Hartberg
49.32% ( -0.55)	23.84% ( 0)	26.83% ( 0.54)

Both teams to score 57.27% (

0.48)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

55.67% (

0.41)

44.33% (

-0.41)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

33.3% (

0.39)

66.7% (

-0.4)

Sturm Graz Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.92% (

-0.06)

18.07% (

0.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

51% (

-0.1)

48.99% (

0.09)

Hartberg Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.91% (

0.63)

30.09% (

-0.63)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.77% (

0.75)

66.23% (

-0.75)

Score Analysis

Sturm Graz 49.32%

Hartberg 26.83%

Draw 23.84%

Sturm Graz	Draw	Hartberg
2-1 @ 9.56% ( -0.04) 1-0 @ 9.3% ( -0.18) 2-0 @ 7.96% ( -0.17) 3-1 @ 5.45% ( -0.03) 3-0 @ 4.54% ( -0.11) 3-2 @ 3.27% ( 0.04) 4-1 @ 2.33% ( -0.02) 4-0 @ 1.94% ( -0.05) 4-2 @ 1.4% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.57% Total : 49.32%	1-1 @ 11.17% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 5.74% ( 0.08) 0-0 @ 5.44% ( -0.1) 3-3 @ 1.31% ( 0.04) Other @ 0.18% Total : 23.84%	1-2 @ 6.71% ( 0.1) 0-1 @ 6.53% ( -0) 0-2 @ 3.92% ( 0.07) 1-3 @ 2.69% ( 0.09) 2-3 @ 2.3% ( 0.07) 0-3 @ 1.57% ( 0.05) Other @ 3.12% Total : 26.83%