Champions League
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F41%2Fbrelog_1.png)
-
Hugo Magnetti
23'
-
Abdallah Sima
36'
-
Abdallah Sima
37'
-
Abdallah Sima
56'
-
Mahdi Camara
64'
-
Ludovic Ajorque
85'
-
Tomi Horvat
21'
-
Max Johnston
22'
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Dimitri Lavalee
40'
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Dimitri Lavalee
40'
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Edimilson Fernandes
45'+1'
(OG)
-
Jon Gorenc Stankovic
59'
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Jusuf Gazibegovic
83'
-
Dimitri Lavalee
89'
Brest vs Sturm Graz - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
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Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sturm Graz win with a probability of 43.27%. A win for Brest had a probability of 31.76% and a draw had a probability of 25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sturm Graz win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.03%) and 0-2 (7.06%). The likeliest Brest win was 1-0 (7.66%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.76%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Brest in this match.
Result
Brest
31.76%
▲
(+0.34)
Draw
24.96%
▲
(+0.02)
Sturm Graz
43.27%
▼
(-0.37)
Both Teams to Score:
56.66%
▲
(+0.08)
Goals
Over 2.5
53.44%
▲
(+0.04)
Under 2.5
46.56%
▼
(-0.04)
Over 3.5
31.17%
▲
(+0.04)
Under 3.5
68.83%
▼
(-0.04)
Over 4.5
15.49%
▲
(+0.03)
Under 4.5
84.51%
▼
(-0.03)
Brest Goals
Over 0.5
72.21%
▲
(+0.24)
Under 0.5
27.79%
▼
(-0.24)
Over 1.5
36.63%
▲
(+0.31)
Under 1.5
63.37%
▼
(-0.31)
Sturm Graz Goals
Over 0.5
78.47%
▼
(-0.16)
Under 0.5
21.53%
▲
(+0.16)
Over 1.5
45.4%
▼
(-0.24)
Under 1.5
54.6%
▲
(+0.24)
Score analysis
Brest
31.76%
Draw
24.96%
Sturm Graz
43.27%
Brest
1-0
@
7.66%
▲
(+0.05)
2-1 @ 7.53% ▲ (+0.06)
2-0 @ 4.91% ▲ (+0.06)
3-1 @ 3.22% ▲ (+0.05)
3-2 @ 2.47% ▲ (+0.03)
3-0 @ 2.09% ▲ (+0.04)
4-1 @ 1.03% ▲ (+0.03)
Other @ 2.85%
Total : 31.76%
2-1 @ 7.53% ▲ (+0.06)
2-0 @ 4.91% ▲ (+0.06)
3-1 @ 3.22% ▲ (+0.05)
3-2 @ 2.47% ▲ (+0.03)
3-0 @ 2.09% ▲ (+0.04)
4-1 @ 1.03% ▲ (+0.03)
Other @ 2.85%
Total : 31.76%
Draw
1-1
@
11.76%
▲
(+0.01)
0-0 @ 5.98% ▼ (-0.01)
2-2 @ 5.78% ▲ (+0.02)
3-3 @ 1.26% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 24.96%
0-0 @ 5.98% ▼ (-0.01)
2-2 @ 5.78% ▲ (+0.02)
3-3 @ 1.26% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 24.96%
Sturm Graz
0-1
@
9.19%
▼
(-0.06)
1-2 @ 9.03% ▼ (-0.04)
0-2 @ 7.06% ▼ (-0.08)
1-3 @ 4.62% ▼ (-0.05)
0-3 @ 3.61% ▼ (-0.06)
2-3 @ 2.96% ▼ (-0.01)
1-4 @ 1.78% ▼ (-0.03)
0-4 @ 1.39% ▼ (-0.03)
2-4 @ 1.14% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 2.5%
Total : 43.27%
1-2 @ 9.03% ▼ (-0.04)
0-2 @ 7.06% ▼ (-0.08)
1-3 @ 4.62% ▼ (-0.05)
0-3 @ 3.61% ▼ (-0.06)
2-3 @ 2.96% ▼ (-0.01)
1-4 @ 1.78% ▼ (-0.03)
0-4 @ 1.39% ▼ (-0.03)
2-4 @ 1.14% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 2.5%
Total : 43.27%