Ligue 1

Ligue 1 | Gameweek 4

Sep 14, 2024 at 8pm UK

Parc des Princes

PSG
3 - 1
Brest

Dembele (42', 74'), Ruiz (73')
Beraldo (26'), Mendes (28')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Del Castillo (29' pen.)
Camara (39'), Ajorque (49'), Chardonnet (59')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Ligue 1 clash between Paris Saint-Germain and Brest, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Paris Saint-Germain

All competitions

Ligue 1

Last Game: Lille 1-3 PSG
Sunday, September 1 at 7.45pm in Ligue 1

Goals
for

Brest

All competitions

Ligue 1

Last Game: Brest 4-0 St Etienne
Saturday, August 31 at 4pm in Ligue 1

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paris Saint-Germain win with a probability of 67.68%. A draw had a probability of 18% and a win for Brest had a probability of 14.35%.

The most likely scoreline for a Paris Saint-Germain win was 2-0 with a probability of 9.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.67%) and 1-0 (8.23%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.2%), while for a Brest win it was 1-2 (4.09%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Paris Saint-Germain would win this match.

Result
Paris Saint-Germain	Draw	Brest
67.68% ( -0.04)	17.97% ( 0.04)	14.35% ( -0)

Both teams to score 57.11% (

-0.15)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

65.16% (

-0.19)

34.84% (

0.19)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

43.19% (

-0.21)

56.81% (

0.21)

Paris Saint-Germain Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

90.55% (

-0.06)

9.45% (

0.06)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

68.25% (

-0.14)

31.74% (

0.14)

Brest Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

63.07% (

-0.12)

36.93% (

0.12)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

26.28% (

-0.12)

73.71% (

0.12)

Score Analysis

Paris Saint-Germain 67.68%

Brest 14.35%

Draw 17.97%

Paris Saint-Germain	Draw	Brest
2-0 @ 9.71% ( 0.04) 2-1 @ 9.67% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 8.23% ( 0.06) 3-0 @ 7.64% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 7.61% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 4.5% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 4.49% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 3.79% ( -0.02) 4-2 @ 2.24% ( -0.02) 5-0 @ 2.13% ( -0.01) 5-1 @ 2.12% ( -0.02) 5-2 @ 1.06% ( -0.01) Other @ 4.51% Total : 67.68%	1-1 @ 8.2% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 4.82% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 3.49% ( 0.03) 3-3 @ 1.26% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.2% Total : 17.97%	1-2 @ 4.09% ( 0) 0-1 @ 3.48% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 1.73% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 1.6% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 1.36% ( -0) Other @ 2.1% Total : 14.35%