Austrian Bundesliga | Gameweek 8
Sep 28, 2024 at 4pm UK
Linzer Stadion

BW Linz
1 - 2
Sturm Graz

Goiginger (33')
Goiginger (45'), Strauss (45+1')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Biereth (18'), Kiteishvili (71' pen.)
Yardimci (79'), Gazibegovic (90'), Chukwuani (90+1')
Coverage of the Austrian Bundesliga clash between BW Linz and Sturm Graz.

Form, Standings, Stats

BW Linz

All competitions
Last Game: Rheindorf Altach 0-1 BW Linz
Saturday, September 21 at 4pm in Austrian Bundesliga

Sturm Graz

All competitions
Austrian Bundesliga
Last Game: Austria Vienna 2-2 Sturm Graz
Wednesday, September 25 at 5.30pm in Austrian Bundesliga

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sturm Graz win with a probability of 46.51%. A win for BW Linz had a probability of 27.51% and a draw had a probability of 26%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sturm Graz win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.15%) and 0-2 (8.5%). The likeliest BW Linz win was 1-0 (8.33%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.34%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sturm Graz would win this match.

Result
BW LinzDrawSturm Graz
27.51% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01)25.98% (0.013000000000002 0.01)46.51% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)
Both teams to score 50.96% (-0.048000000000002 -0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.13% (-0.058 -0.06)52.87% (0.058 0.06)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.51% (-0.049999999999997 -0.05)74.48% (0.048999999999992 0.05)
BW Linz Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.93% (-0.040999999999997 -0.04)34.07% (0.041999999999994 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.24% (-0.042999999999999 -0.04)70.75% (0.042999999999992 0.04)
Sturm Graz Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.29% (-0.025999999999996 -0.03)22.71% (0.027000000000001 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.63% (-0.036999999999999 -0.04)56.37% (0.036999999999999 0.04)
Score Analysis
    BW Linz 27.51%
    Sturm Graz 46.5%
    Draw 25.97%
BW LinzDrawSturm Graz
1-0 @ 8.33% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-1 @ 6.65% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
2-0 @ 4.49% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-1 @ 2.39% (-0.004 -0)
3-2 @ 1.77% (-0.004 -0)
3-0 @ 1.61% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 2.28%
Total : 27.51%
1-1 @ 12.34%
0-0 @ 7.74% (0.018 0.02)
2-2 @ 4.93% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
Other @ 0.97%
Total : 25.97%
0-1 @ 11.46% (0.010000000000002 0.01)
1-2 @ 9.15% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-2 @ 8.5% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
1-3 @ 4.52% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
0-3 @ 4.2%
2-3 @ 2.44% (-0.0059999999999998 -0.01)
1-4 @ 1.68% (-0.004 -0)
0-4 @ 1.56% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
2-4 @ 0.9% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 2.09%
Total : 46.5%

Head to Head
Dec 3, 2023 1.30pm
Gameweek 16
BW Linz
1-1
Sturm Graz
Seidl (19')
Strauss (71'), Koch (90+3')
Horvat (48')
Lavalee (90+1'), Ilzer (90+7')
Serrano (54')
Aug 26, 2023 4pm
Gameweek 5
Sturm Graz
4-1
BW Linz
Wlodarczyk (1', 61'), Haudum (7' og.), Sarkaria (76' pen.)
Serrano (27')
Affengruber (54' og.)