Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sturm Graz win with a probability of 46.98%. A win for Wolfsberger had a probability of 28.33% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sturm Graz win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.37%) and 2-0 (7.86%). The likeliest Wolfsberger win was 0-1 (7.27%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.66%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 1.7% likelihood.