Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wolfsberger win with a probability of 37.23%. A win for LASK Linz had a probability of 36.13% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Wolfsberger win was 0-1 with a probability of 10%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.18%) and 0-2 (6.45%). The likeliest LASK Linz win was 1-0 (9.81%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.66%). The actual scoreline of 1-5 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Wolfsberger would win this match.