Champions League
Sep 18, 2024 8.00pm
0
3
HT : 0 0
FT Jan Breydelstadion
  • Hugo Vetlesen 53' yellowcard
  • goal Jamie Bynoe-Gittens 76'
  • yellowcard Julian Ryerson 84'
  • goal Jamie Bynoe-Gittens 86'
  • goal Serhou Guirassy 90'+5'

Club Brugge vs Borussia Dortmund - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Club Brugge

All competitions

Borussia Dortmund

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Borussia Dortmund win with a probability of 42.46%. A win for Club Brugge had a probability of 35.51% and a draw had a probability of 22%.

The most likely scoreline for a Borussia Dortmund win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (5.35%) and 1-3 (5.21%). The likeliest Club Brugge win was 2-1 (7.63%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.03%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Borussia Dortmund would win this match.

Result

Club Brugge 35.51% (-2.57)
Draw 22.03% (+0.40)
Borussia Dortmund 42.46% (+2.17)

Both Teams to Score: 

68.84% (-2.04)

Goals

Over 2.5 68.81% (-2.47)
Under 2.5 31.19% (+2.47)
Over 3.5 47.39% (-2.98)
Under 3.5 52.61% (+2.98)
Over 4.5 28.38% (-2.70)
Under 4.5 71.62% (+2.69)

Club Brugge Goals

Over 0.5 81.53% (-2.22)
Under 0.5 18.47% (+2.22)
Over 1.5 50.34% (-3.89)
Under 1.5 49.66% (+3.88)

Borussia Dortmund Goals

Over 0.5 84.43% (-0.20)
Under 0.5 15.57% (+0.20)
Over 1.5 55.47% (-0.37)
Under 1.5 44.53% (+0.37)

Score analysis

Club Brugge 35.51%
Draw 22.03%
Borussia Dortmund 42.46%
Club Brugge
2-1 @ 7.63% (-0.10)
1-0 @ 4.86% (+0.32)
3-1 @ 4.3% (-0.39)
2-0 @ 4.1% (-0.03)
3-2 @ 4% (-0.39)
3-0 @ 2.31% (-0.19)
4-1 @ 1.81% (-0.32)
4-2 @ 1.69% (-0.31)
4-3 @ 1.05% (-0.20)
Other @ 3.77%
Total : 35.51%
Draw
1-1 @ 9.03% (+0.54)
2-2 @ 7.1% (-0.14)
0-0 @ 2.88% (+0.38)
3-3 @ 2.48% (-0.26)
Other @ 0.55%
Total : 22.03%
Borussia Dortmund
1-2 @ 8.4% (+0.45)
0-1 @ 5.35% (+0.67)
1-3 @ 5.21% (+0.25)
0-2 @ 4.97% (+0.60)
2-3 @ 4.4% (-0.12)
0-3 @ 3.08% (+0.35)
1-4 @ 2.42% (+0.10)
2-4 @ 2.05% (-0.07)
0-4 @ 1.43% (+0.16)
3-4 @ 1.15% (-0.13)
Other @ 4%
Total : 42.46%

Head to Head

Champions League
Nov 24, 2020 8.00pm
3
0
HT : 2 0
FT Signal-Iduna-Park
  • Erling Braut Haaland 18' goal
  • Jadon Sancho 45' goal
  • Erling Braut Haaland 60' goal
  • yellowcard Mats Rits 71'
Champions League
Nov 4, 2020 8.00pm
0
3
HT : 0 3
FT Jan Breydelstadion
  • goal Thorgan Hazard 14'
  • goal Erling Braut Haaland 18'
  • goal Erling Braut Haaland 32'
Champions League Gameweek 5
Nov 28, 2018 8.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Paco Alcacer 45' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Stefano Denswil 14'
Champions League Gameweek 1
Sep 18, 2018 8.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT
  • yellowcard Julian Weigl 19'
  • goal Christian Pulisic 85'
  • yellowcard Shinji Kagawa 90'