Champions League

Champions League | League Stage

Sep 18, 2024 at 8pm UK

Jan Breydelstadion

Brugge
0 - 3
Dortmund

Vetlesen (53')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Bynoe-Gittens (76', 86'), Guirassy (90+5' pen.)
Ryerson (84')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Champions League clash between Club Brugge and Borussia Dortmund, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Club Brugge

All competitions

Last Game: Kortrijk 0-3 Brugge
Saturday, September 14 at 5.15pm in Belgian Pro League

Goals
for

Borussia Dortmund

All competitions

Last Game: Dortmund 4-2 Heidenheim
Friday, September 13 at 7.30pm in Bundesliga

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Borussia Dortmund win with a probability of 42.46%. A win for Club Brugge had a probability of 35.51% and a draw had a probability of 22%.

The most likely scoreline for a Borussia Dortmund win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (5.35%) and 1-3 (5.21%). The likeliest Club Brugge win was 2-1 (7.63%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.03%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Borussia Dortmund would win this match.

Result
Club Brugge	Draw	Borussia Dortmund
35.51% ( -2.57)	22.03% ( 0.4)	42.46% ( 2.16)

Both teams to score 68.84% (

-2.04)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

68.81% (

-2.47)

31.19% (

2.47)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

47.39% (

-2.97)

52.61% (

2.97)

Club Brugge Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.53% (

-2.22)

18.47% (

2.21)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

50.34% (

-3.88)

49.66% (

3.88)

Borussia Dortmund Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

84.43% (

-0.2)

15.57% (

0.2)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

55.47% (

-0.37)

44.53% (

0.36)

Score Analysis

Club Brugge 35.51%

Borussia Dortmund 42.46%

Draw 22.03%

Club Brugge	Draw	Borussia Dortmund
2-1 @ 7.63% ( -0.09) 1-0 @ 4.86% ( 0.32) 3-1 @ 4.3% ( -0.38) 2-0 @ 4.1% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 4% ( -0.38) 3-0 @ 2.31% ( -0.19) 4-1 @ 1.81% ( -0.31) 4-2 @ 1.69% ( -0.3) 4-3 @ 1.05% ( -0.2) 4-0 @ 0.98% ( -0.16) Other @ 2.8% Total : 35.51%	1-1 @ 9.03% ( 0.53) 2-2 @ 7.1% ( -0.14) 0-0 @ 2.88% ( 0.38) 3-3 @ 2.48% ( -0.26) Other @ 0.55% Total : 22.03%	1-2 @ 8.4% ( 0.44) 0-1 @ 5.35% ( 0.67) 1-3 @ 5.21% ( 0.24) 0-2 @ 4.97% ( 0.59) 2-3 @ 4.4% ( -0.12) 0-3 @ 3.08% ( 0.35) 1-4 @ 2.42% ( 0.1) 2-4 @ 2.05% ( -0.07) 0-4 @ 1.43% ( 0.15) 3-4 @ 1.15% ( -0.13) 1-5 @ 0.9% ( 0.03) Other @ 3.1% Total : 42.46%