Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Borussia Dortmund win with a probability of 42.46%. A win for Club Brugge had a probability of 35.51% and a draw had a probability of 22%.
The most likely scoreline for a Borussia Dortmund win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (5.35%) and 1-3 (5.21%). The likeliest Club Brugge win was 2-1 (7.63%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.03%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Borussia Dortmund would win this match.