Bundesliga Gameweek 3
Sep 13, 2024 7.30pm
4
2
HT : 3 1
FT Signal-Iduna-Park
  • Donyell Malen 12' goal
  • Karim Adeyemi 17' goal
  • Karim Adeyemi 41' goal
  • Jamie Bynoe-Gittens 82' yellowcard
  • Yan Couto 86' yellowcard
  • Emre Can 90'+3' goal
  • goal Marvin Pieringer 39'
  • yellowcard Paul Wanner 63'
  • goal Maximilian Breunig 74'
  • yellowcard Mikkel Kaufmann 83'

Borussia Dortmund vs Heidenheim - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Borussia Dortmund

All competitions
Last game
Aug 31, 2024 2.30pm
Werder Bremen 0 - 0 Dortmund
Goals scored
71
Top scorer
Serhou Guirassy

Heidenheim

All competitions
Last game
Sep 1, 2024 2.30pm
Heidenheim 4 - 0 Augsburg
Goals scored
37
Top scorer
Marvin Pieringer

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Borussia Dortmund win with a probability of 56.55%. A draw had a probability of 22.3% and a win for Heidenheim had a probability of 21.15%.

The most likely scoreline for a Borussia Dortmund win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.77%) and 2-0 (9.25%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.46%), while for a Heidenheim win it was 1-2 (5.6%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 1.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Borussia Dortmund would win this match.

Result

Borussia Dortmund 56.55% (-0.09)
Draw 22.29% (+0.05)
Heidenheim 21.15% (+0.04)

Both Teams to Score: 

55.82% (-0.09)

Goals

Over 2.5 56.86% (-0.15)
Under 2.5 43.14% (+0.15)
Over 3.5 34.46% (-0.15)
Under 3.5 65.54% (+0.14)
Over 4.5 17.86% (-0.11)
Under 4.5 82.13% (+0.11)

Borussia Dortmund Goals

Over 0.5 84.93% (-0.08)
Under 0.5 15.07% (+0.08)
Over 1.5 56.41% (-0.15)
Under 1.5 43.58% (+0.15)

Heidenheim Goals

Over 0.5 65.72% (-0.05)
Under 0.5 34.27% (+0.04)
Over 1.5 29.02% (-0.05)
Under 1.5 70.97% (+0.05)

Score analysis

Borussia Dortmund 56.55%
Draw 22.28%
Heidenheim 21.15%
Borussia Dortmund
2-1 @ 9.9% (-0.01)
1-0 @ 9.77% (+0.04)
2-0 @ 9.25% (+0.01)
3-1 @ 6.25% (-0.02)
3-0 @ 5.84% (-0.01)
3-2 @ 3.35% (-0.02)
4-1 @ 2.96% (-0.02)
4-0 @ 2.76% (-0.02)
4-2 @ 1.58% (-0.02)
5-1 @ 1.12% (-0.01)
5-0 @ 1.05% (-0.01)
Other @ 2.73%
Total : 56.55%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.46% (+0.04)
2-2 @ 5.3% (-0.01)
0-0 @ 5.16% (+0.04)
3-3 @ 1.19% (-0.01)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 22.28%
Heidenheim
1-2 @ 5.6% (+0.01)
0-1 @ 5.53% (+0.03)
0-2 @ 2.96% (+0.02)
1-3 @ 2%
2-3 @ 1.89% (-0.01)
0-3 @ 1.06% (+0.01)
Other @ 2.11%
Total : 21.15%

Head to Head

Bundesliga Gameweek 20
Feb 2, 2024 7.30pm
0
0
HT : 0 1
FT Voith-Arena
  • goal Donyell Malen 26'
  • yellowcard Ian Maatsen 80'
  • yellowcard Donyell Malen 90'+5'
Bundesliga Gameweek 3
Sep 1, 2023 7.30pm
2
2
HT : 2 0
FT Signal-Iduna-Park
  • Julian Brandt 7' goal
  • Emre Can 15' goal
  • Ramy Bensebaini 61' yellowcard
  • Sebastien Haller 82' yellowcard
  • Emre Can 90'+3' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Eren Dinkci 35'
  • yellowcard Jan-Niklas Beste 57'
  • goal Eren Dinkci 61'
  • yellowcard Marvin Pieringer 61'
  • goal Tim Kleindienst 82'