Bundesliga

Bundesliga | Gameweek 3

Sep 13, 2024 at 7.30pm UK

Signal-Iduna-Park

Dortmund
4 - 2
Heidenheim

Malen (12'), Adeyemi (17', 41'), Can (90+3' pen.)
Bynoe-Gittens (82'), Couto (86')

FT(HT: 3-1)

Pieringer (39'), Breunig (74' pen.)
Wanner (63'), Kaufmann (83')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Bundesliga clash between Borussia Dortmund and Heidenheim, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Borussia Dortmund

All competitions

Bundesliga

Last Game: Werder Bremen 0-0 Dortmund
Saturday, August 31 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

Goals
for

Heidenheim

All competitions

Bundesliga

Last Game: Heidenheim 4-0 Augsburg
Sunday, September 1 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Borussia Dortmund win with a probability of 56.55%. A draw had a probability of 22.3% and a win for Heidenheim had a probability of 21.15%.

The most likely scoreline for a Borussia Dortmund win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.77%) and 2-0 (9.25%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.46%), while for a Heidenheim win it was 1-2 (5.6%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 1.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Borussia Dortmund would win this match.

Result
Borussia Dortmund	Draw	Heidenheim
56.55% ( -0.09)	22.29% ( 0.04)	21.15% ( 0.04)

Both teams to score 55.82% (

-0.09)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

56.86% (

-0.15)

43.14% (

0.14)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

34.46% (

-0.14)

65.54% (

0.14)

Borussia Dortmund Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

84.93% (

-0.08)

15.07% (

0.07)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

56.41% (

-0.15)

43.58% (

0.14)

Heidenheim Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

65.72% (

-0.04)

34.27% (

0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.02% (

-0.05)

70.97% (

0.05)

Score Analysis

Borussia Dortmund 56.55%

Heidenheim 21.15%

Draw 22.28%

Borussia Dortmund	Draw	Heidenheim
2-1 @ 9.9% ( -0) 1-0 @ 9.77% ( 0.04) 2-0 @ 9.25% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 6.25% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 5.84% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 3.35% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 2.96% ( -0.02) 4-0 @ 2.76% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 1.58% ( -0.01) 5-1 @ 1.12% ( -0.01) 5-0 @ 1.05% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.73% Total : 56.55%	1-1 @ 10.46% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 5.3% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 5.16% ( 0.03) 3-3 @ 1.19% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.16% Total : 22.28%	1-2 @ 5.6% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 5.53% ( 0.03) 0-2 @ 2.96% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 2% 2-3 @ 1.89% ( -0) 0-3 @ 1.06% ( 0) Other @ 2.11% Total : 21.15%