Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Borussia Dortmund win with a probability of 84.39%. A draw had a probability of 9.6% and a win for Phonix Lubeck had a probability of 6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Borussia Dortmund win was 0-3 with a probability of 8.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-3 (7.91%) and 0-4 (7.41%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (3.84%), while for a Phonix Lubeck win it was 2-1 (1.8%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Borussia Dortmund would win this match.