Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Borussia Dortmund win with a probability of 84.39%. A draw had a probability of 9.6% and a win for Phonix Lubeck had a probability of 6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Borussia Dortmund win was 0-3 with a probability of 8.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-3 (7.91%) and 0-4 (7.41%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (3.84%), while for a Phonix Lubeck win it was 2-1 (1.8%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Borussia Dortmund would win this match.

Result
Phonix Lubeck	Draw	Borussia Dortmund
6% ( 1.26)	9.6% ( 1.15)	84.39% ( -2.41)

Both teams to score 59.01% (

3.46)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

82.08% (

-0.24)

17.92% (

0.24)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

64.93% (

-0.36)

35.07% (

0.36)

Phonix Lubeck Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

60.83% (

3.75)

39.17% (

-3.75)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

24.11% (

3.34)

75.88% (

-3.34)

Borussia Dortmund Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

97.02% (

-0.32)

2.98% (

0.32)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

86.55% (

-1.13)

13.45% (

1.13)

Score Analysis

Phonix Lubeck 6%

Borussia Dortmund 84.39%

Draw 9.6%

Phonix Lubeck	Draw	Borussia Dortmund
2-1 @ 1.8% ( 0.32) 1-0 @ 1.09% ( 0.13) 3-2 @ 0.99% ( 0.23) Other @ 2.12% Total : 6%	1-1 @ 3.84% ( 0.34) 2-2 @ 3.16% ( 0.48) 0-0 @ 1.17% ( 0.02) 3-3 @ 1.16% ( 0.24) Other @ 0.27% Total : 9.6%	0-3 @ 8.44% ( -0.64) 1-3 @ 7.91% ( 0.23) 0-4 @ 7.41% ( -0.82) 0-2 @ 7.2% ( -0.31) 1-4 @ 6.95% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 6.75% ( 0.4) 0-5 @ 5.21% ( -0.76) 1-5 @ 4.88% ( -0.17) 0-1 @ 4.1% ( -0.04) 2-3 @ 3.71% ( 0.46) 2-4 @ 3.25% ( 0.31) 0-6 @ 3.05% ( -0.56) 1-6 @ 2.86% ( -0.19) 2-5 @ 2.29% ( 0.15) 0-7 @ 1.53% ( -0.34) 1-7 @ 1.43% ( -0.15) 2-6 @ 1.34% ( 0.05) 3-4 @ 1.02% ( 0.19) Other @ 5.08% Total : 84.39%