Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Augsburg win with a probability of 38.23%. A win for Heidenheim had a probability of 37.44% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.
The most likely scoreline for an Augsburg win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.55%) and 0-2 (5.68%). The likeliest Heidenheim win was 2-1 (8.35%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.23%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 1% likelihood.