DFB-Pokal | First Round
Aug 18, 2024 at 12pm UK
Stadion Lichterfelde
Augsburg logo

Viktoria Berlin
1 - 4
Augsburg

Liu (4')
Rexhbecaj (47'), Yildirim (61'), Dikarev (77')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Rexhbecaj (33'), Essende (53'), Dorsch (87'), Tietz (90+2')
Mohamed (47'), Mensah (83'), Giannoulis (86')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's DFB-Pokal clash between Viktoria Berlin and Augsburg, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Viktoria Berlin

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Last Game: Hamburger SV II 0-2 Viktoria Berlin
Saturday, July 20 at 1pm in Club Friendlies 3
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Augsburg

All competitions
Last Game: Augsburg 1-3 Marseille
Saturday, August 10 at 4pm in Club Friendlies 3

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Augsburg win with a probability of 75.31%. A draw had a probability of 15% and a win for Viktoria Berlin had a probability of 9.68%.

The most likely scoreline for an Augsburg win was 0-2 with a probability of 10.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-3 (9.43%) and 1-2 (9.08%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.96%), while for a Viktoria Berlin win it was 2-1 (2.91%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Augsburg would win this match.

Result
Viktoria BerlinDrawAugsburg
9.68% (0.6361 0.64)15.01% (0.835 0.84)75.31% (-1.468 -1.47)
Both teams to score 52.54% (-0.70200000000001 -0.7)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
66.92% (-2.158 -2.16)33.08% (2.161 2.16)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
45.19% (-2.522 -2.52)54.82% (2.525 2.53)
Viktoria Berlin Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
56.71% (-0.284 -0.28)43.29% (0.287 0.29)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
20.47% (-0.237 -0.24)79.54% (0.241 0.24)
Augsburg Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
92.65% (-0.76700000000001 -0.77)7.36% (0.77 0.77)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
73.45% (-2.047 -2.05)26.56% (2.05 2.05)
Score Analysis
    Viktoria Berlin 9.68%
    Augsburg 75.31%
    Draw 15.01%
Viktoria BerlinDrawAugsburg
2-1 @ 2.91% (0.169 0.17)
1-0 @ 2.67% (0.276 0.28)
2-0 @ 1.12% (0.107 0.11)
3-2 @ 1.06% (0.011 0.01)
Other @ 1.93%
Total : 9.68%
1-1 @ 6.96% (0.456 0.46)
2-2 @ 3.8% (0.069 0.07)
0-0 @ 3.19% (0.352 0.35)
3-3 @ 0.92% (-0.029 -0.03)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 15.01%
0-2 @ 10.84% (0.37 0.37)
0-3 @ 9.43% (-0.068999999999999 -0.07)
1-2 @ 9.08% (0.236 0.24)
0-1 @ 8.31% (0.606 0.61)
1-3 @ 7.9% (-0.121 -0.12)
0-4 @ 6.15% (-0.308 -0.31)
1-4 @ 5.15% (-0.3 -0.3)
2-3 @ 3.31% (-0.077 -0.08)
0-5 @ 3.21% (-0.304 -0.3)
1-5 @ 2.69% (-0.277 -0.28)
2-4 @ 2.16% (-0.144 -0.14)
0-6 @ 1.4% (-0.196 -0.2)
1-6 @ 1.17% (-0.176 -0.18)
2-5 @ 1.13% (-0.126 -0.13)
Other @ 3.39%
Total : 75.31%

How you voted: Viktoria Berlin vs Augsburg

Viktoria Berlin
52.6%
Draw
0.0%
Augsburg
47.4%
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