Premier League Gameweek 11
Nov 9, 2024 8.00pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT Anfield
  • Darwin Nunez 20' goal
  • Mohamed Salah 84' goal
  • yellowcard Morgan Rogers 34'
  • yellowcard Youri Tielemans 45'+3'
  • yellowcard Boubacar Kamara 76'

Liverpool vs Aston Villa - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Reaction

News
News
News

The match

Result
Team News
Match Preview
Predicted Lineups
Injuries & Suspensions

Form, Standings, Stats

Liverpool

All competitions
Last game
Nov 2, 2024 3.00pm
Liverpool 2 - 1 Brighton
Goals scored
86
Top scorer
Mohamed Salah

Aston Villa

All competitions
Last game
Nov 3, 2024 2.00pm
Spurs 4 - 1 Aston Villa
Goals scored
58
Top scorer
Ollie Watkins

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Liverpool win with a probability of 66.41%. A draw had a probability of 18.8% and a win for Aston Villa had a probability of 14.82%.

The most likely scoreline for a Liverpool win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.81%) and 1-0 (9.05%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.72%), while for an Aston Villa win it was 1-2 (4.2%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Liverpool in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Liverpool.

Result

Liverpool 66.41% (+0.08)
Draw 18.78% (-0.05)
Aston Villa 14.82% (-0.03)

Both Teams to Score: 

55.33% (+0.12)

Goals

Over 2.5 62.29% (+0.18)
Under 2.5 37.71% (-0.18)
Over 3.5 40.04% (+0.19)
Under 3.5 59.95% (-0.20)
Over 4.5 22.17% (+0.16)
Under 4.5 77.82% (-0.16)

Liverpool Goals

Over 0.5 89.45% (+0.07)
Under 0.5 10.54% (-0.07)
Over 1.5 65.73% (+0.15)
Under 1.5 34.26% (-0.16)

Aston Villa Goals

Over 0.5 61.85% (+0.08)
Under 0.5 38.14% (-0.09)
Over 1.5 25.09% (+0.08)
Under 1.5 74.91% (-0.08)

Score analysis

Liverpool 66.4%
Draw 18.78%
Aston Villa 14.82%
Liverpool
2-0 @ 10.17% (-0.03)
2-1 @ 9.81% (-0.01)
1-0 @ 9.05% (-0.06)
3-0 @ 7.63% (+0.01)
3-1 @ 7.36% (+0.02)
4-0 @ 4.29% (+0.02)
4-1 @ 4.14% (+0.03)
3-2 @ 3.54% (+0.02)
4-2 @ 1.99% (+0.02)
5-0 @ 1.93% (+0.02)
5-1 @ 1.86% (+0.02)
Other @ 4.63%
Total : 66.4%
Draw
1-1 @ 8.72% (-0.03)
2-2 @ 4.73% (+0.01)
0-0 @ 4.02% (-0.04)
3-3 @ 1.14% (+0.01)
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 18.78%
Aston Villa
1-2 @ 4.2% (-0.01)
0-1 @ 3.88% (-0.03)
0-2 @ 1.87% (-0.01)
2-3 @ 1.52% (+0.01)
1-3 @ 1.35% (+0.01)
Other @ 2%
Total : 14.82%

Head to Head

Premier League Gameweek 37
May 13, 2024 8.00pm
3
3
HT : 1 2
FT Villa Park
  • Youri Tielemans 12' goal
  • John McGinn 70' yellowcard
  • Jhon Duran 85' goal
  • Unai Emery 85' yellowcard
  • Jhon Duran 88' goal
  • goal Emiliano Martinez 2' (OG)
  • goal Cody Gakpo 23'
  • yellowcard Harvey Elliott 38'
  • goal Jarell Quansah 48'
Premier League Gameweek 4
Sep 3, 2023 2.00pm
3
0
HT : 2 0
FT Anfield
  • Dominik Szoboszlai 3' goal
  • Matty Cash 22' goal
  • Mohamed Salah 55' goal
  • yellowcard Boubacar Kamara 26'
Premier League Gameweek 37
May 20, 2023 3.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 1
FT
  • Roberto Firmino 89' goal
  • goal Jacob Ramsey 27'
Premier League Gameweek 17
Dec 26, 2022 5.30pm
1
3
HT : 0 2
FT
  • Ollie Watkins 59' goal
  • goal Mohamed Salah 5'
  • goal Virgil van Dijk 37'
  • goal Stefan Bajcetic 81'
Premier League Gameweek 33
May 10, 2022 8.00pm
1
2
HT : 1 1
FT
  • Douglas Luiz 3' goal
  • goal Joel Matip 6'
  • goal Sadio Mane 65'
Premier League Gameweek 16
Dec 11, 2021 3.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Virgil van Dijk 13' yellowcard
  • Mohamed Salah 67' goal
  • yellowcard Marvelous Nakamba 19'
  • yellowcard Ollie Watkins 24'

Build-up

Feature
News
Predicted Lineups