Brighton

2 - 3

Liverpool

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Liverpool win with a probability of 46.42%. A win for Brighton & Hove Albion had a probability of 30.67% and a draw had a probability of 22.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Liverpool win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.13%) and 0-2 (6.42%). The likeliest Brighton & Hove Albion win was 2-1 (7.27%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.18%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 3.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Liverpool would win this match.