Champions League
Oct 23, 2024 8.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 1
FT Red Bull Arena
  • Castello Lukeba 8' yellowcard
  • Lutsharel Geertruida 23' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Alexis Mac Allister 12'
  • goal Darwin Nunez 27'

RB Leipzig vs Liverpool - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Result
Team News
Match Preview
Predicted Lineups
Injuries & Suspensions

Form, Standings, Stats

RB Leipzig

All competitions
Champions League
Last game
Oct 2, 2024 8.00pm
RB Leipzig 2 - 3 Juventus

Liverpool

All competitions
Champions League
Last game
Oct 2, 2024 8.00pm
Liverpool 2 - 0 Bologna

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Liverpool win with a probability of 42.77%. A win for RB Leipzig had a probability of 32.32% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Liverpool win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.99%) and 0-2 (6.91%). The likeliest RB Leipzig win was 1-0 (7.64%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.72%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Liverpool in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Liverpool.

Result

RB Leipzig 32.32% (-0.39)
Draw 24.91% (+0.04)
Liverpool 42.77% (+0.36)

Both Teams to Score: 

57.08% (-0.26)

Goals

Over 2.5 53.88% (-0.28)
Under 2.5 46.13% (+0.28)
Over 3.5 31.58% (-0.27)
Under 3.5 68.43% (+0.27)
Over 4.5 15.78% (-0.19)
Under 4.5 84.23% (+0.19)

RB Leipzig Goals

Over 0.5 72.78% (-0.38)
Under 0.5 27.22% (+0.38)
Over 1.5 37.36% (-0.50)
Under 1.5 62.64% (+0.50)

Liverpool Goals

Over 0.5 78.42% (+0.06)
Under 0.5 21.58% (-0.05)
Over 1.5 45.33% (+0.08)
Under 1.5 54.67% (-0.08)

Score analysis

RB Leipzig 32.32%
Draw 24.91%
Liverpool 42.77%
RB Leipzig
1-0 @ 7.64% (+0.01)
2-1 @ 7.63% (-0.07)
2-0 @ 4.97% (-0.05)
3-1 @ 3.31% (-0.07)
3-2 @ 2.54% (-0.05)
3-0 @ 2.16% (-0.05)
4-1 @ 1.08% (-0.04)
Other @ 3%
Total : 32.32%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.72% (+0.04)
0-0 @ 5.88% (+0.07)
2-2 @ 5.85% (-0.05)
3-3 @ 1.3% (-0.03)
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 24.91%
Liverpool
0-1 @ 9.01% (+0.12)
1-2 @ 8.99% (+0.04)
0-2 @ 6.91% (+0.11)
1-3 @ 4.59% (+0.03)
0-3 @ 3.53% (+0.06)
2-3 @ 2.99% (-0.02)
1-4 @ 1.76% (+0.02)
0-4 @ 1.35% (+0.03)
2-4 @ 1.15% (-0.01)
Other @ 2.5%
Total : 42.77%

Head to Head

Club Friendlies 1
Jul 21, 2022 6.15pm
0
5
HT : 0 1
FT Red Bull Arena
  • goal Mohamed Salah 8'
  • goal Darwin Nunez 48'
  • goal Darwin Nunez 51'
  • goal Darwin Nunez 68'
  • goal Darwin Nunez 90'
Champions League
Mar 10, 2021 8.00pm
2
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Mohamed Salah 71' goal
  • Sadio Mane 74' goal
Champions League
Feb 16, 2021 8.00pm
0
2
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Amadou Haidara 5' yellowcard
  • Nordi Mukiele 5' yellowcard
  • Christopher Nkunku 52' yellowcard
  • Angelino 65' yellowcard
  • Dani Olmo 76' yellowcard
  • goal Mohamed Salah 53'
  • goal Sadio Mane 58'
  • yellowcard Ozan Kabak 69'
  • yellowcard Jordan Henderson 81'

Build-up

Head to head
Predicted Lineups