Bundesliga

Bundesliga | Gameweek 5

Sep 28, 2024 at 2.30pm UK

Red Bull Arena

RB Leipzig
4 - 0
Augsburg

Sesko (11', 15'), Openda (46'), Simons (57')
Seiwald (42')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Onyeka (78'), Matsima (83')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between RB Leipzig and Augsburg, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

RB Leipzig

All competitions

Bundesliga

Last Game: St Pauli 0-0 RB Leipzig
Sunday, September 22 at 6.30pm in Bundesliga

Goals
for

Augsburg

All competitions

Bundesliga

Last Game: Augsburg 2-3 Mainz
Friday, September 20 at 7.30pm in Bundesliga

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a RB Leipzig win with a probability of 59.11%. A draw had a probability of 20.9% and a win for Augsburg had a probability of 20.01%.

The most likely scoreline for a RB Leipzig win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.81%) and 1-0 (8.53%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.56%), while for an Augsburg win it was 1-2 (5.36%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that RB Leipzig would win this match.

Result
RB Leipzig	Draw	Augsburg
59.11% ( 0.03)	20.88% ( -0.02)	20.01% ( -0.02)

Both teams to score 58.87% (

0.03)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

61.74% (

0.05)

38.26% (

-0.05)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

39.47% (

0.06)

60.54% (

-0.05)

RB Leipzig Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

87.33% (

0.02)

12.67% (

-0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

61.15% (

0.05)

38.85% (

-0.05)

Augsburg Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.42% (

0.02)

32.59% (

-0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

30.88% (

0.02)

69.13% (

-0.02)

Score Analysis

RB Leipzig 59.11%

Augsburg 20.01%

Draw 20.88%

RB Leipzig	Draw	Augsburg
2-1 @ 9.88% ( -0) 2-0 @ 8.81% ( -0) 1-0 @ 8.53% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 6.8% ( 0) 3-0 @ 6.07% ( 0) 3-2 @ 3.81% ( 0) 4-1 @ 3.51% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 3.13% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.97% ( 0) 5-1 @ 1.45% ( 0) 5-0 @ 1.3% ( 0) Other @ 3.85% Total : 59.11%	1-1 @ 9.56% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 5.54% ( 0) 0-0 @ 4.13% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 1.43% ( 0) Other @ 0.23% Total : 20.88%	1-2 @ 5.36% ( -0) 0-1 @ 4.63% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 2.6% ( -0) 2-3 @ 2.07% ( 0) 1-3 @ 2% ( -0) 0-3 @ 0.97% ( -0) Other @ 2.37% Total : 20.01%