Bundesliga

Bundesliga | Gameweek 3

Sep 15, 2024 at 2.30pm UK

WWK Arena

Augsburg
3 - 1
St Pauli

Wolf (47'), Tietz (66'), Kabadayi (90+6')
Essende (39'), Rexhbecaj (58'), Giannoulis (62'), Tietz (90+4')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Boukhalfa (75')
Guilavogui (5'), Ritzka (22'), Mets (90+4'), Blessin (90')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Bundesliga clash between Augsburg and St Pauli, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Augsburg

All competitions

Bundesliga

Last Game: Heidenheim 4-0 Augsburg
Sunday, September 1 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

Goals
for

St Pauli

All competitions

Bundesliga

Last Game: Union Berlin 1-0 St Pauli
Friday, August 30 at 7.30pm in Bundesliga

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Pauli win with a probability of 48.43%. A win for Augsburg had a probability of 27.22% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a St Pauli win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.49%) and 0-2 (8.06%). The likeliest Augsburg win was 1-0 (6.96%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.49%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood.

Result
Augsburg	Draw	St Pauli
27.22% ( -0.19)	24.35% ( 0.22)	48.43% ( -0.03)

Both teams to score 55.91% (

-0.9)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

53.72% (

-1.11)

46.28% (

1.11)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

31.43% (

-1.06)

68.57% (

1.06)

Augsburg Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.18% (

-0.72)

30.82% (

0.72)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.91% (

-0.86)

67.09% (

0.86)

St Pauli Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.81% (

-0.45)

19.19% (

0.45)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

49.13% (

-0.75)

50.86% (

0.75)

Score Analysis

Augsburg 27.22%

St Pauli 48.43%

Draw 24.35%

Augsburg	Draw	St Pauli
1-0 @ 6.96% ( 0.19) 2-1 @ 6.76% ( -0.04) 2-0 @ 4.1% ( 0.03) 3-1 @ 2.65% ( -0.07) 3-2 @ 2.19% ( -0.09) 3-0 @ 1.61% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.95% Total : 27.22%	1-1 @ 11.49% ( 0.15) 0-0 @ 5.91% ( 0.27) 2-2 @ 5.58% ( -0.12) 3-3 @ 1.21% ( -0.07) Other @ 0.16% Total : 24.35%	0-1 @ 9.76% ( 0.32) 1-2 @ 9.49% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 8.06% ( 0.15) 1-3 @ 5.22% ( -0.08) 0-3 @ 4.44% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 3.07% ( -0.11) 1-4 @ 2.16% ( -0.06) 0-4 @ 1.83% ( -0.02) 2-4 @ 1.27% ( -0.06) Other @ 3.14% Total : 48.43%