Bundesliga

Bundesliga | Gameweek 4

Sep 22, 2024 at 6.30pm UK

Millerntor-Stadion

St Pauli
0 - 0
RB Leipzig

Treu (29'), Saad (71')

Haidara (24')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Bundesliga clash between St Pauli and RB Leipzig, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

St Pauli

All competitions

Bundesliga

Last Game: Augsburg 3-1 St Pauli
Sunday, September 15 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

Goals
for

RB Leipzig

All competitions

Bundesliga

Last Game: Atletico 2-1 RB Leipzig
Thursday, September 19 at 8pm in Champions League

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Pauli win with a probability of 47.22%. A win for RB Leipzig had a probability of 30.09% and a draw had a probability of 22.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a St Pauli win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.02%) and 2-0 (6.45%). The likeliest RB Leipzig win was 1-2 (7.16%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.03%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 3.8% likelihood.

Result
St Pauli	Draw	RB Leipzig
47.22% ( 0.26)	22.69% ( -0)	30.09% ( -0.26)

Both teams to score 63.88% (

-0.15)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

63.3% (

-0.12)

36.7% (

0.12)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

41.14% (

-0.14)

58.86% (

0.14)

St Pauli Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

84.03% (

0.05)

15.96% (

-0.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

54.74% (

0.09)

45.25% (

-0.09)

RB Leipzig Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.01% (

-0.22)

23.98% (

0.22)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

41.77% (

-0.31)

58.22% (

0.31)

Score Analysis

St Pauli 47.22%

RB Leipzig 30.09%

Draw 22.69%

St Pauli	Draw	RB Leipzig
2-1 @ 9.2% ( 0.03) 1-0 @ 7.02% ( 0.05) 2-0 @ 6.45% ( 0.06) 3-1 @ 5.63% ( 0.03) 3-2 @ 4.02% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 3.94% ( 0.04) 4-1 @ 2.58% ( 0.02) 4-2 @ 1.84% 4-0 @ 1.81% ( 0.02) 5-1 @ 0.95% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.78% Total : 47.22%	1-1 @ 10.03% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 6.57% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 3.83% ( 0.02) 3-3 @ 1.91% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.35% Total : 22.69%	1-2 @ 7.16% ( -0.04) 0-1 @ 5.47% ( -0) 0-2 @ 3.9% ( -0.03) 1-3 @ 3.41% ( -0.04) 2-3 @ 3.13% ( -0.03) 0-3 @ 1.86% ( -0.02) 1-4 @ 1.22% ( -0.02) 2-4 @ 1.12% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.83% Total : 30.09%