MX23RW : Tuesday, October 8 21:01:05| >> :300:86500:86500:
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Bundesliga
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Bundesliga | Gameweek 4
Sep 20, 2024 at 7.30pm UK
WWK Arena
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Augsburg
2 - 3
Mainz

Schlotterbeck (25'), Essende (57')
Onyeka (84'), Gouweleeuw (90+12'), Rexhbecaj (90+11')
Essende (70')
FT(HT: 1-2)
Sieb (13'), Burkardt (15', 49')
Hanche-Olsen (28'), Amiri (33'), Henriksen (56'), Widmer (90+7'), Kohr (90')
Amiri (35')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Bundesliga clash between Augsburg and Mainz 05, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Augsburg

All competitions
Bundesliga
Last Game: Augsburg 3-1 St Pauli
Sunday, September 15 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

Mainz 05

All competitions
Bundesliga
Last Game: Mainz 1-2 Werder Bremen
Sunday, September 15 at 4.30pm in Bundesliga

We said: Augsburg 1-2 Mainz 05

 Although Mainz failed to take advantage of the fact their opponents were reduced to 10 men last time out, they have been difficult to beat for some time. Additionally, Augsburg have lost many of their recent fixtures, and it would not be surprising if they lost once again on Friday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Augsburg win with a probability of 45.65%. A win for Mainz 05 had a probability of 29.33% and a draw had a probability of 25%.

The most likely scoreline for an Augsburg win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.24%) and 2-0 (7.7%). The likeliest Mainz 05 win was 0-1 (7.6%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.84%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Mainz 05 would win this match.

Result
AugsburgDrawMainz 05
45.65% (-0.152 -0.15) 25.02% (0.078999999999997 0.08) 29.33% (0.071000000000002 0.07)
Both teams to score 55.2% (-0.212 -0.21)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.1% (-0.301 -0.3)47.9% (0.297 0.3)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.92% (-0.275 -0.27)70.08% (0.273 0.27)
Augsburg Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.98% (-0.191 -0.19)21.02% (0.188 0.19)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.2% (-0.299 -0.3)53.8% (0.295 0.3)
Mainz 05 Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.89% (-0.101 -0.1)30.11% (0.099 0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.75% (-0.123 -0.12)66.25% (0.12 0.12)
Score Analysis
    Augsburg 45.65%
    Mainz 05 29.33%
    Draw 25.01%
AugsburgDrawMainz 05
1-0 @ 9.87% (0.064 0.06)
2-1 @ 9.24% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
2-0 @ 7.7% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
3-1 @ 4.81% (-0.037 -0.04)
3-0 @ 4% (-0.021 -0.02)
3-2 @ 2.88% (-0.03 -0.03)
4-1 @ 1.87% (-0.025 -0.02)
4-0 @ 1.56% (-0.017 -0.02)
4-2 @ 1.13% (-0.018 -0.02)
Other @ 2.59%
Total : 45.65%
1-1 @ 11.84% (0.039999999999999 0.04)
0-0 @ 6.33% (0.078 0.08)
2-2 @ 5.55% (-0.026 -0.03)
3-3 @ 1.15% (-0.015 -0.02)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 25.01%
0-1 @ 7.6% (0.073 0.07)
1-2 @ 7.11% (0.008 0.01)
0-2 @ 4.56% (0.031000000000001 0.03)
1-3 @ 2.85% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
2-3 @ 2.22% (-0.017 -0.02)
0-3 @ 1.82% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 3.17%
Total : 29.33%

How you voted: Augsburg vs Mainz

Augsburg
51.4%
Draw
17.9%
Mainz 05
30.6%
173
Head to Head
Feb 17, 2024 2.30pm
Gameweek 22
Mainz
1-0
Augsburg
Van den Berg (43')
Jae-sung (35'), Kohr (90+7'), van den Berg (90+14')

Dahmen (45+5'), Gouweleeuw (90+8')
Pedersen (90+12')
> Preview
Sep 23, 2023 2.30pm
Gameweek 5
Augsburg
2-1
Mainz
Demirovic (15', 45')
Dorsch (90+1'), Beljo (90+5')
Engels (62')
Ajorque (6')
Gruda (74'), Zentner (77'), Jae-sung (90+7')
> Preview
Feb 11, 2023 2.30pm
Gameweek 20
Mainz
3-1
Augsburg
Jae-sung (21', 52'), Onisiwo (24')
Demirovic (28' pen.)
> Preview
Aug 20, 2022 2.30pm
Gameweek 3
Augsburg
1-2
Mainz
Demirovic (35')
Gouweleeuw (3'), Rexhbecaj (29')
Onisiwo (31'), Jae-sung (90+3')
Bell (29'), Burkardt (62')
> Preview
Apr 6, 2022 5.30pm
Gameweek 26
Augsburg
2-1
Mainz
Gouweleeuw (11' pen.), Vargas (56')
Gruezo (75'), Gouweleeuw (76'), Gumny (80')
Widmer (54')
Bell (15'), Widmer (83')
> Preview
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Bayern MunichBayern64202071314
2RB Leipzig642092714
3Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt6411149513
4Freiburg640297212
5Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen63211612411
6Union BerlinUnion Berlin632164211
7Borussia DortmundDortmund63121211110
8Stuttgart6231151149
9Heidenheim630310829
10Mainz 05Mainz6222111018
11Werder Bremen6222812-48
12Wolfsburg6213131217
13Augsburg6213915-67
14Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach6204710-36
15St Pauli611449-54
16Hoffenheim61141016-64
17Holstein Kiel6024919-102
18VfL BochumVfL Bochum6015614-81
> Bundesliga Full Table


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