Bundesliga

Bundesliga | Gameweek 4

Sep 20, 2024 at 7.30pm UK

WWK Arena

Augsburg
2 - 3
Mainz

Schlotterbeck (25'), Essende (57')
Onyeka (84'), Gouweleeuw (90+12'), Rexhbecaj (90+11')

FT(HT: 1-2)

Sieb (13'), Burkardt (15', 49')
Hanche-Olsen (28'), Amiri (33'), Henriksen (56'), Widmer (90+7'), Kohr (90')
Amiri (35')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Bundesliga clash between Augsburg and Mainz 05, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Augsburg

All competitions

Bundesliga

Last Game: Augsburg 3-1 St Pauli
Sunday, September 15 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

Goals
for

Mainz 05

All competitions

Bundesliga

Last Game: Mainz 1-2 Werder Bremen
Sunday, September 15 at 4.30pm in Bundesliga

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Augsburg win with a probability of 45.65%. A win for Mainz 05 had a probability of 29.33% and a draw had a probability of 25%.

The most likely scoreline for an Augsburg win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.24%) and 2-0 (7.7%). The likeliest Mainz 05 win was 0-1 (7.6%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.84%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Mainz 05 would win this match.

Result
Augsburg	Draw	Mainz 05
45.65% ( -0.15)	25.02% ( 0.08)	29.33% ( 0.07)

Both teams to score 55.2% (

-0.21)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

52.1% (

-0.3)

47.9% (

0.3)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

29.92% (

-0.27)

70.08% (

0.27)

Augsburg Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.98% (

-0.19)

21.02% (

0.19)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

46.2% (

-0.3)

53.8% (

0.3)

Mainz 05 Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.89% (

-0.1)

30.11% (

0.1)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.75% (

-0.12)

66.25% (

0.12)

Score Analysis

Augsburg 45.65%

Mainz 05 29.33%

Draw 25.01%

Augsburg	Draw	Mainz 05
1-0 @ 9.87% ( 0.06) 2-1 @ 9.24% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 7.7% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 4.81% ( -0.04) 3-0 @ 4% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 2.88% ( -0.03) 4-1 @ 1.87% ( -0.02) 4-0 @ 1.56% ( -0.02) 4-2 @ 1.13% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.59% Total : 45.65%	1-1 @ 11.84% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 6.33% ( 0.08) 2-2 @ 5.55% ( -0.03) 3-3 @ 1.15% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.15% Total : 25.01%	0-1 @ 7.6% ( 0.07) 1-2 @ 7.11% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 4.56% ( 0.03) 1-3 @ 2.85% ( -0) 2-3 @ 2.22% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 1.82% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.17% Total : 29.33%