We said: Heidenheim 1-1 RB Leipzig
Given Heidenheim's strong defensive performance against both Mainz and Olimpija, it would not be surprising if they managed to frustrate Leipzig's attacking players.
However, the visitors have proven difficult to beat away from home in recent matchweek, and it is difficult to see them losing on Sunday.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a RB Leipzig win with a probability of 45.53%. A win for Heidenheim had a probability of 31.02% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a RB Leipzig win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.68%) and 0-2 (6.62%). The likeliest Heidenheim win was 2-1 (7.39%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.65%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that RB Leipzig would win this match.