UEFA Conference League

Conference League | League Stage

Oct 3, 2024 at 5.45pm UK

Voith-Arena

Heidenheim
2 - 1
Ljubljana

Beck (6'), Wanner (83')
Wanner (84'), Wanner (88'), Weschenfelder-Scienza (90+5')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Blanco (77')
Charles (37'), Sanchez del Amo (38'), Agba (65'), G (83')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Europa Conference League clash between Heidenheim and NK Olimpija Ljubljana, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Heidenheim

All competitions

Europa Conference League

Last Game: Mainz 0-2 Heidenheim
Saturday, September 28 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

Goals
for

NK Olimpija Ljubljana

All competitions

Europa Conference League

Last Game: Primorje 0-2 Ljubljana
Saturday, September 28 at 2pm in Slovenian PrvaLiga

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Heidenheim win with a probability of 39.02%. A win for NK Olimpija Ljubljana had a probability of 37.6% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Heidenheim win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.56%) and 2-0 (5.31%). The likeliest NK Olimpija Ljubljana win was 1-2 (8.26%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.4%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Heidenheim in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Heidenheim.

Result
Heidenheim	Draw	NK Olimpija Ljubljana
39.02% ( -0.81)	23.39% ( -0.03)	37.6% ( 0.86)

Both teams to score 63.82% (

0.2)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

62.18% (

0.23)

37.83% (

-0.22)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

39.93% (

0.25)

60.08% (

-0.24)

Heidenheim Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.23% (

-0.27)

19.78% (

0.28)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

48.17% (

-0.45)

51.84% (

0.46)

NK Olimpija Ljubljana Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.55% (

0.52)

20.45% (

-0.51)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

47.1% (

0.82)

52.91% (

-0.81)

Score Analysis

Heidenheim 39.02%

NK Olimpija Ljubljana 37.6%

Draw 23.39%

Heidenheim	Draw	NK Olimpija Ljubljana
2-1 @ 8.43% ( -0.11) 1-0 @ 6.56% ( -0.13) 2-0 @ 5.31% ( -0.15) 3-1 @ 4.55% ( -0.1) 3-2 @ 3.61% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 2.87% ( -0.11) 4-1 @ 1.85% ( -0.05) 4-2 @ 1.46% ( -0.02) 4-0 @ 1.16% ( -0.05) Other @ 3.21% Total : 39.02%	1-1 @ 10.4% ( -0.04) 2-2 @ 6.69% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 4.05% ( -0.04) 3-3 @ 1.91% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.34% Total : 23.39%	1-2 @ 8.26% ( 0.1) 0-1 @ 6.42% ( 0.03) 0-2 @ 5.1% ( 0.11) 1-3 @ 4.37% ( 0.12) 2-3 @ 3.54% ( 0.07) 0-3 @ 2.7% ( 0.1) 1-4 @ 1.73% ( 0.08) 2-4 @ 1.41% ( 0.05) 0-4 @ 1.07% ( 0.06) Other @ 3.01% Total : 37.6%