Bundesliga

Bundesliga | Gameweek 5

Sep 28, 2024 at 2.30pm UK

Mewa Arena

Mainz
0 - 2
Heidenheim

Hanche-Olsen (6'), Jenz (49'), Kohr (61')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Pieringer (15'), Schoppner (86')
Traore (48'), Mainka (49'), Gimber (56'), Pieringer (77')
Dorsch (80')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Mainz 05 and Heidenheim, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Mainz 05

All competitions

Bundesliga

Last Game: Augsburg 2-3 Mainz
Friday, September 20 at 7.30pm in Bundesliga

Goals
for

Heidenheim

All competitions

Bundesliga

Last Game: Heidenheim 0-3 Freiburg
Saturday, September 21 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mainz 05 win with a probability of 51.21%. A win for Heidenheim had a probability of 24.86% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Mainz 05 win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.67%) and 2-0 (8.65%). The likeliest Heidenheim win was 0-1 (6.62%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.31%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood.

Result
Mainz 05	Draw	Heidenheim
51.21% ( 0.12)	23.93% ( 0.04)	24.86% ( -0.15)

Both teams to score 55.09% (

-0.28)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

53.67% (

-0.29)

46.33% (

0.29)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

31.38% (

-0.27)

68.62% (

0.27)

Mainz 05 Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.89% (

-0.06)

18.11% (

0.06)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

50.95% (

-0.11)

49.05% (

0.11)

Heidenheim Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.27% (

-0.28)

32.72% (

0.28)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

30.72% (

-0.32)

69.28% (

0.32)

Score Analysis

Mainz 05 51.21%

Heidenheim 24.86%

Draw 23.93%

Mainz 05	Draw	Heidenheim
1-0 @ 10.12% ( 0.1) 2-1 @ 9.67% ( 0) 2-0 @ 8.65% ( 0.07) 3-1 @ 5.51% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 4.93% ( 0.03) 3-2 @ 3.08% ( -0.03) 4-1 @ 2.35% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 2.11% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 1.31% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.49% Total : 51.21%	1-1 @ 11.31% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 5.93% ( 0.07) 2-2 @ 5.4% ( -0.04) 3-3 @ 1.15% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.15% Total : 23.93%	0-1 @ 6.62% ( 0.03) 1-2 @ 6.32% ( -0.03) 0-2 @ 3.7% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 2.35% ( -0.03) 2-3 @ 2.01% ( -0.03) 0-3 @ 1.38% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.49% Total : 24.86%