Bundesliga

Bundesliga | Gameweek 4

Sep 21, 2024 at 2.30pm UK

Voith-Arena

Heidenheim
0 - 3
Freiburg

Pieringer (74')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Doan (54'), Grifo (59', 65')
Adamu (57')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Heidenheim and Freiburg, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Heidenheim

All competitions

Bundesliga

Last Game: Dortmund 4-2 Heidenheim
Friday, September 13 at 7.30pm in Bundesliga

Goals
for

Freiburg

All competitions

Bundesliga

Last Game: Freiburg 2-1 VfL Bochum
Saturday, September 14 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Heidenheim win with a probability of 52.12%. A win for Freiburg had a probability of 24.53% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Heidenheim win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.55%) and 2-0 (8.49%). The likeliest Freiburg win was 1-2 (6.28%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.95%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 1.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Freiburg would win this match.

Result
Heidenheim	Draw	Freiburg
52.12% ( -0.13)	23.35% ( 0.02)	24.53% ( 0.11)

Both teams to score 56.68% (

0.05)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

55.93% (

0.01)

44.07% (

-0.01)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

33.55% (

0.01)

66.45% (

-0.01)

Heidenheim Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.08% (

-0.04)

16.93% (

0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

53.01% (

-0.07)

46.99% (

0.07)

Freiburg Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.23% (

0.09)

31.78% (

-0.1)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.79% (

0.11)

68.21% (

-0.11)

Score Analysis

Heidenheim 52.12%

Freiburg 24.53%

Draw 23.34%

Heidenheim	Draw	Freiburg
2-1 @ 9.73% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 9.55% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 8.49% ( -0.03) 3-1 @ 5.76% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 5.02% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 3.3% ( 0) 4-1 @ 2.56% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 2.23% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 1.47% ( -0) 5-1 @ 0.91% ( -0) Other @ 3.11% Total : 52.12%	1-1 @ 10.95% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 5.58% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 5.38% ( -0) 3-3 @ 1.26% ( 0) Other @ 0.18% Total : 23.34%	1-2 @ 6.28% ( 0.02) 0-1 @ 6.17% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 3.53% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 2.4% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 2.13% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 1.35% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.67% Total : 24.53%