Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Freiburg win with a probability of 38.37%. A win for VfL Osnabruck had a probability of 37.28% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Freiburg win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.59%) and 0-2 (5.72%). The likeliest VfL Osnabruck win was 2-1 (8.33%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.24%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 1.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Freiburg would win this match.

Result
VfL Osnabruck	Draw	Freiburg
37.28% ( -0.05)	24.35% ( -0.13)	38.37% ( 0.18)

Both teams to score 60.14% (

0.46)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

57.41% (

0.6)

42.59% (

-0.6)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

35.01% (

0.6)

64.99% (

-0.59)

VfL Osnabruck Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.27% (

0.24)

22.73% (

-0.24)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

43.6% (

0.36)

56.4% (

-0.36)

Freiburg Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.83% (

0.35)

22.17% (

-0.35)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

44.43% (

0.53)

55.57% (

-0.53)

Score Analysis

VfL Osnabruck 37.28%

Freiburg 38.37%

Draw 24.35%

VfL Osnabruck	Draw	Freiburg
2-1 @ 8.33% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 7.47% ( -0.15) 2-0 @ 5.53% ( -0.07) 3-1 @ 4.11% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 3.1% ( 0.05) 3-0 @ 2.73% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 1.52% ( 0.02) 4-2 @ 1.15% ( 0.03) 4-0 @ 1.01% ( 0) Other @ 2.32% Total : 37.28%	1-1 @ 11.24% ( -0.1) 2-2 @ 6.28% ( 0.06) 0-0 @ 5.04% ( -0.14) 3-3 @ 1.56% ( 0.04) Other @ 0.24% Total : 24.35%	1-2 @ 8.47% ( 0.02) 0-1 @ 7.59% ( -0.12) 0-2 @ 5.72% ( -0.03) 1-3 @ 4.25% ( 0.05) 2-3 @ 3.15% ( 0.06) 0-3 @ 2.87% ( 0.02) 1-4 @ 1.6% ( 0.04) 2-4 @ 1.19% ( 0.04) 0-4 @ 1.08% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.45% Total : 38.37%