Bundesliga

Bundesliga | Gameweek 1

Aug 24, 2024 at 2.30pm UK

Schwarzwald-Stadion

Freiburg
3 - 1
Stuttgart

Kubler (26', 61'), Doan (54')
Adamu (41'), Lienhart (57')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Demirovic (2')
Mittelstadt (65')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Freiburg and Stuttgart, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Freiburg

All competitions

Bundesliga

Last Game: Osnabruck 0-4 Freiburg
Saturday, August 17 at 2.30pm in DFB-Pokal

Goals
for

Stuttgart

All competitions

Bundesliga

Last Game: B. Leverkusen 2-2 Stuttgart (4-3 pen.)
Saturday, August 17 at 7.30pm in DFL-Supercup

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stuttgart win with a probability of 49.57%. A win for Freiburg had a probability of 28.6% and a draw had a probability of 21.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Stuttgart win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.4%) and 0-2 (6.3%). The likeliest Freiburg win was 2-1 (6.8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.32%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood.

Result
Freiburg	Draw	Stuttgart
28.6% ( 0.35)	21.83% ( 0.14)	49.57% ( -0.49)

Both teams to score 66.02% (

-0.23)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

66.55% (

-0.42)

33.45% (

0.42)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

44.76% (

-0.48)

55.24% (

0.48)

Freiburg Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.73% (

0.01)

23.27% (

-0)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

42.8% (

0.01)

57.2% (

-0)

Stuttgart Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

86.04% (

-0.31)

13.96% (

0.31)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

58.56% (

-0.61)

41.44% (

0.61)

Score Analysis

Freiburg 28.6%

Stuttgart 49.57%

Draw 21.83%

Freiburg	Draw	Stuttgart
2-1 @ 6.8% ( 0.07) 1-0 @ 4.74% ( 0.11) 2-0 @ 3.45% ( 0.08) 3-1 @ 3.3% ( 0.04) 3-2 @ 3.25% 3-0 @ 1.68% ( 0.04) 4-1 @ 1.2% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 1.19% Other @ 2.99% Total : 28.6%	1-1 @ 9.32% ( 0.1) 2-2 @ 6.69% ( -0) 0-0 @ 3.25% ( 0.07) 3-3 @ 2.14% ( -0.03) Other @ 0.43% Total : 21.83%	1-2 @ 9.18% ( -0) 0-1 @ 6.4% ( 0.07) 0-2 @ 6.3% ( -0) 1-3 @ 6.03% ( -0.07) 2-3 @ 4.39% ( -0.05) 0-3 @ 4.13% ( -0.05) 1-4 @ 2.97% ( -0.07) 2-4 @ 2.16% ( -0.05) 0-4 @ 2.04% ( -0.05) 1-5 @ 1.17% ( -0.04) 3-4 @ 1.05% ( -0.02) Other @ 3.76% Total : 49.57%