Bundesliga

Bundesliga | Gameweek 3

Sep 14, 2024 at 2.30pm UK

Schwarzwald-Stadion

Freiburg
2 - 1
VfL Bochum

Adamu (58', 61')

FT(HT: 0-2)

Boadu (45', 45')
Balde (81'), Kwarteng (82'), Wittek (90+5')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Freiburg and VfL Bochum, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Freiburg

All competitions

Bundesliga

Last Game: Bayern 2-0 Freiburg
Sunday, September 1 at 4.30pm in Bundesliga

Goals
for

VfL Bochum

All competitions

Bundesliga

Last Game: VfL Bochum 0-2 Borussia M'bach
Saturday, August 31 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Freiburg win with a probability of 41.87%. A win for VfL Bochum had a probability of 34.99% and a draw had a probability of 23.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Freiburg win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.61%) and 2-0 (5.64%). The likeliest VfL Bochum win was 1-2 (7.88%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.21%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Freiburg in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Freiburg.

Result
Freiburg	Draw	VfL Bochum
41.87% ( 0.39)	23.14% ( 0.15)	34.99% ( -0.55)

Both teams to score 64.38% (

-0.73)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

63.06% (

-0.89)

36.94% (

0.9)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

40.88% (

-0.98)

59.12% (

0.98)

Freiburg Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.85% (

-0.2)

18.15% (

0.21)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

50.88% (

-0.35)

49.12% (

0.35)

VfL Bochum Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.66% (

-0.69)

21.35% (

0.69)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

45.69% (

-1.07)

54.31% (

1.08)

Score Analysis

Freiburg 41.87%

VfL Bochum 34.99%

Draw 23.14%

Freiburg	Draw	VfL Bochum
2-1 @ 8.71% ( 0.09) 1-0 @ 6.61% ( 0.24) 2-0 @ 5.64% ( 0.17) 3-1 @ 4.96% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 3.83% ( -0.07) 3-0 @ 3.21% ( 0.08) 4-1 @ 2.11% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 1.63% ( -0.04) 4-0 @ 1.37% ( 0.02) Other @ 3.79% Total : 41.87%	1-1 @ 10.21% ( 0.17) 2-2 @ 6.73% ( -0.07) 0-0 @ 3.87% ( 0.17) 3-3 @ 1.97% ( -0.08) Other @ 0.36% Total : 23.14%	1-2 @ 7.88% ( -0.03) 0-1 @ 5.98% ( 0.14) 0-2 @ 4.62% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 4.06% ( -0.11) 2-3 @ 3.46% ( -0.11) 0-3 @ 2.38% ( -0.04) 1-4 @ 1.57% ( -0.07) 2-4 @ 1.34% ( -0.07) 0-4 @ 0.92% ( -0.04) Other @ 2.78% Total : 34.99%