Champions League

Champions League | League Stage

Oct 2, 2024 at 8pm UK

Red Bull Arena

RB Leipzig
2 - 3
Juventus

Sesko (30', 65' pen.)
Raum (79')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Vlahovic (50', 68'), Conceicao (82')
Conceicao (85'), Perin (90+9')
Di Gregorio (59')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Champions League clash between RB Leipzig and Juventus, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

RB Leipzig

All competitions

Champions League

Last Game: RB Leipzig 4-0 Augsburg
Saturday, September 28 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

Goals
for

Juventus

All competitions

Champions League

Last Game: Genoa 0-3 Juventus
Saturday, September 28 at 5pm in Serie A

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a RB Leipzig win with a probability of 45.33%. A win for Juventus had a probability of 28.58% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a RB Leipzig win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.07%) and 2-0 (8.21%). The likeliest Juventus win was 0-1 (8.49%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.4%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 1.8% likelihood.

Result
RB Leipzig	Draw	Juventus
45.33% ( 0.28)	26.09% ( 0.08)	28.58% ( -0.35)

Both teams to score 51.35% (

-0.45)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

47.29% (

-0.48)

52.7% (

0.48)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

25.65% (

-0.41)

74.34% (

0.41)

RB Leipzig Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.81% (

-0.07)

23.19% (

0.07)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

42.92% (

-0.11)

57.07% (

0.11)

Juventus Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.85% (

-0.52)

33.15% (

0.52)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

30.25% (

-0.58)

69.75% (

0.58)

Score Analysis

RB Leipzig 45.32%

Juventus 28.58%

Draw 26.09%

RB Leipzig	Draw	Juventus
1-0 @ 11.23% ( 0.19) 2-1 @ 9.07% ( 0) 2-0 @ 8.21% ( 0.12) 3-1 @ 4.42% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 4% ( 0.05) 3-2 @ 2.44% ( -0.04) 4-1 @ 1.61% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 1.46% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.89% Total : 45.32%	1-1 @ 12.4% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 7.69% ( 0.14) 2-2 @ 5.01% ( -0.07) Other @ 1% Total : 26.09%	0-1 @ 8.49% ( 0.04) 1-2 @ 6.85% ( -0.08) 0-2 @ 4.69% ( -0.04) 1-3 @ 2.52% ( -0.07) 2-3 @ 1.84% ( -0.05) 0-3 @ 1.73% ( -0.04) Other @ 2.47% Total : 28.58%