Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Juventus win with a probability of 48.57%. A draw had a probability of 26.7% and a win for Genoa had a probability of 24.71%.
The most likely scoreline for a Juventus win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.56%) and 1-2 (9.02%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.53%), while for a Genoa win it was 1-0 (8.71%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Juventus would win this match.