Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Juventus win with a probability of 48.57%. A draw had a probability of 26.7% and a win for Genoa had a probability of 24.71%.
The most likely scoreline for a Juventus win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.56%) and 1-2 (9.02%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.53%), while for a Genoa win it was 1-0 (8.71%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Juventus would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Genoa | Draw | Juventus |
| 24.71% ( | 26.72% ( | 48.57% ( |
| Both teams to score 46.59% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 42.57% ( | 57.43% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 21.76% ( | 78.24% ( |
| Genoa Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.07% | 38.93% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 24.34% ( | 75.66% ( |
| Juventus Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.29% ( | 23.71% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.16% ( | 57.84% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Genoa | Draw | Juventus |
| 1-0 @ 8.71% ( 2-1 @ 5.91% ( 2-0 @ 4.11% ( 3-1 @ 1.86% ( 3-2 @ 1.34% ( 3-0 @ 1.29% ( Other @ 1.49% Total : 24.71% | 1-1 @ 12.53% ( 0-0 @ 9.23% ( 2-2 @ 4.25% ( Other @ 0.7% Total : 26.71% | 0-1 @ 13.28% ( 0-2 @ 9.56% ( 1-2 @ 9.02% ( 0-3 @ 4.59% ( 1-3 @ 4.33% ( 2-3 @ 2.04% ( 0-4 @ 1.65% ( 1-4 @ 1.56% ( Other @ 2.55% Total : 48.57% |