Serie A

Serie A | Gameweek 4

Sep 15, 2024 at 11.30am UK

Stadio Olimpico Grande Torino

Genoa
1 - 1
Roma

De Winter (90+6')
De Winter (70'), Gilardino (71')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Dovbyk (37')
Pisilli (45'), De Rossi (55'), Pellegrini (64'), Shomurodov (90+1')
De Rossi (90+5')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between Genoa and Roma, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Genoa

All competitions

Serie A

Last Game: Genoa 0-2 Hellas Verona
Sunday, September 1 at 5.30pm in Serie A

Goals
for

Roma

All competitions

Serie A

Last Game: Juventus 0-0 Roma
Sunday, September 1 at 7.45pm in Serie A

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Roma win with a probability of 39.71%. A win for Genoa had a probability of 33.22% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Roma win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.39%) and 0-2 (7.17%). The likeliest Genoa win was 1-0 (9.83%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.84%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.8% likelihood.

Result
Genoa	Draw	Roma
33.22% ( -0.16)	27.07% ( -0.03)	39.71% ( 0.19)

Both teams to score 50.32% (

0.06)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

45.04% (

0.09)

54.95% (

-0.09)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

23.77% (

0.07)

76.23% (

-0.08)

Genoa Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.99% (

-0.06)

31.01% (

0.06)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.68% (

-0.07)

67.32% (

0.07)

Roma Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.93% (

0.15)

27.07% (

-0.15)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.56% (

0.19)

62.44% (

-0.2)

Score Analysis

Genoa 33.22%

Roma 39.7%

Draw 27.07%

Genoa	Draw	Roma
1-0 @ 9.83% ( -0.05) 2-1 @ 7.52% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 5.75% ( -0.04) 3-1 @ 2.94% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 2.25% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 1.92% Other @ 3.02% Total : 33.22%	1-1 @ 12.84% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 8.39% ( -0.03) 2-2 @ 4.91% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.92% Total : 27.07%	0-1 @ 10.96% 1-2 @ 8.39% ( 0.03) 0-2 @ 7.17% ( 0.03) 1-3 @ 3.66% ( 0.03) 0-3 @ 3.12% ( 0.03) 2-3 @ 2.14% ( 0.01) 1-4 @ 1.19% ( 0.01) 0-4 @ 1.02% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.05% Total : 39.7%