Genoa logo
Coppa Italia | Second Round
Sep 25, 2024 at 8pm UK
Stadio Comunale Luigi Ferraris
Sampdoria logo

Genoa
1 - 1
Sampdoria

Pinamonti (9')
Badelj (36'), Vitinha (48'), Bani (56'), Vasquez (70')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Borini (83')
La Gumina (33'), Ioannou (36'), Depaoli (42'), Vieira (64'), Benedetti (71'), Meulensteen (82')
Romagnoli (90+2')
Sampdoria win 6-5 on penalties

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Coppa Italia clash between Genoa and Sampdoria, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Genoa

All competitions
Coppa Italia
Last Game: Venezia 2-0 Genoa
Saturday, September 21 at 2pm in Serie A

Sampdoria

All competitions
Coppa Italia
Last Game: Sampdoria 1-0 Sudtirol
Saturday, September 21 at 2pm in Serie B

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sampdoria win with a probability of 38.22%. A win for Genoa had a probability of 35.55% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sampdoria win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.37%) and 0-2 (6.51%). The likeliest Genoa win was 1-0 (9.29%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.46%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.5% likelihood.

Result
GenoaDrawSampdoria
35.55% (0.033000000000001 0.03)26.22% (0.227 0.23)38.22% (-0.263 -0.26)
Both teams to score 53.42% (-0.762 -0.76)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.81% (-0.976 -0.98)51.18% (0.973 0.97)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.97% (-0.86 -0.86)73.02% (0.857 0.86)
Genoa Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.32% (-0.447 -0.45)27.68% (0.444 0.44)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.77% (-0.575 -0.58)63.23% (0.572 0.57)
Sampdoria Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.86% (-0.595 -0.59)26.13% (0.592 0.59)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.79% (-0.805 -0.81)61.21% (0.802 0.8)
Score Analysis
    Genoa 35.55%
    Sampdoria 38.22%
    Draw 26.21%
GenoaDrawSampdoria
1-0 @ 9.29% (0.244 0.24)
2-1 @ 8.01% (-0.023000000000001 -0.02)
2-0 @ 5.97% (0.084 0.08)
3-1 @ 3.43% (-0.053 -0.05)
3-0 @ 2.56% (0.004 0)
3-2 @ 2.3% (-0.075 -0.07)
4-1 @ 1.1% (-0.031 -0.03)
Other @ 2.9%
Total : 35.55%
1-1 @ 12.46% (0.12 0.12)
0-0 @ 7.23% (0.277 0.28)
2-2 @ 5.37% (-0.108 -0.11)
3-3 @ 1.03% (-0.052 -0.05)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 26.21%
0-1 @ 9.71% (0.213 0.21)
1-2 @ 8.37% (-0.061 -0.06)
0-2 @ 6.51% (0.034 0.03)
1-3 @ 3.74% (-0.092 -0.09)
0-3 @ 2.91% (-0.035 -0.04)
2-3 @ 2.4% (-0.09 -0.09)
1-4 @ 1.26% (-0.053 -0.05)
0-4 @ 0.98% (-0.029 -0.03)
Other @ 2.35%
Total : 38.22%

How you voted: Genoa vs Sampdoria

Genoa
81.1%
Draw
13.5%
Sampdoria
5.4%
37
Head to Head
Apr 30, 2022 5pm
Gameweek 35
Sampdoria
1-0
Genoa
Sabiri (25')
Audero (32'), Candreva (51'), Ferrari (90+5')

Melegoni (90+1')
> Preview
Dec 10, 2021 7.45pm
Gameweek 17
Genoa
1-3
Sampdoria
Destro (78')
Ghiglione (84'), Sturaro (90')
Gabbiadini (7'), Caputo (49'), Vanheusden (67' og.)
Thorsby (34'), Chabot (90+5')
> Preview
Mar 3, 2021 7.45pm
Gameweek 25
Genoa
1-1
Sampdoria
Zappacosta (52')
Badelj (34')
Tonelli (77')
> Preview
Nov 26, 2020 4pm
Fourth Round
Sampdoria
1-3
Genoa
Verre (18')
Silva (26'), Yoshida (26'), Leris (62')
Scamacca (60', 72'), Lerager (68')
Zapata (13'), Sturaro (43'), Pellegrini (69'), Scamacca (75')
Nov 1, 2020 7.45pm
Gameweek 6
Sampdoria
1-1
Genoa
Jankto (23')
Quagliarella (5'), Thorsby (29'), Ekdal (38'), Jankto (59'), Bereszynski (86')
Scamacca (28')
Goldaniga (18')
> Preview