Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sampdoria win with a probability of 39.8%. A win for Bari had a probability of 33.04% and a draw had a probability of 27.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sampdoria win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.38%) and 2-0 (7.22%). The likeliest Bari win was 0-1 (9.89%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.87%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood.

Result
Sampdoria	Draw	Bari
39.8% ( -0.12)	27.15% ( 0.04)	33.04% ( 0.08)

Both teams to score 50.01% (

-0.09)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

44.68% (

-0.12)

55.32% (

0.12)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

23.47% (

-0.1)

76.53% (

0.1)

Sampdoria Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.81% (

-0.12)

27.19% (

0.12)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.4% (

-0.16)

62.6% (

0.16)

Bari Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.69% (

-0.01)

31.31% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.33% (

-0.01)

67.66% (

0.01)

Score Analysis

Sampdoria 39.79%

Bari 33.04%

Draw 27.15%

Sampdoria	Draw	Bari
1-0 @ 11.08% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 8.38% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 7.22% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 3.64% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 3.13% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 2.11% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 1.19% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 1.02% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.02% Total : 39.79%	1-1 @ 12.87% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 8.51% ( 0.04) 2-2 @ 4.87% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.9% Total : 27.15%	0-1 @ 9.89% ( 0.04) 1-2 @ 7.48% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 5.74% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 2.89% ( 0) 0-3 @ 2.22% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 1.88% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.94% Total : 33.04%