Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bari win with a probability of 54.93%. A draw had a probability of 25.3% and a win for Juve Stabia had a probability of 19.74%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bari win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.2%) and 2-1 (9.28%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.8%), while for a Juve Stabia win it was 0-1 (7.51%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 1.4% likelihood.

Result
Bari	Draw	Juve Stabia
54.93% ( -0.17)	25.33% ( 0.12)	19.74% ( 0.05)

Both teams to score 44.63% (

-0.24)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

43.03% (

-0.36)

56.96% (

0.36)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

22.13% (

-0.29)

77.87% (

0.29)

Bari Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.23% (

-0.22)

20.76% (

0.21)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

46.59% (

-0.34)

53.4% (

0.34)

Juve Stabia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

56.32% (

-0.15)

43.68% (

0.15)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

20.14% (

-0.13)

79.85% (

0.13)

Score Analysis

Bari 54.92%

Juve Stabia 19.74%

Draw 25.32%

Bari	Draw	Juve Stabia
1-0 @ 14.25% ( 0.1) 2-0 @ 11.2% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 9.28% ( -0.03) 3-0 @ 5.87% ( -0.03) 3-1 @ 4.86% ( -0.05) 4-0 @ 2.31% ( -0.03) 3-2 @ 2.01% ( -0.03) 4-1 @ 1.91% ( -0.03) Other @ 3.22% Total : 54.92%	1-1 @ 11.8% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 9.07% ( 0.12) 2-2 @ 3.84% ( -0.03) Other @ 0.6% Total : 25.32%	0-1 @ 7.51% ( 0.07) 1-2 @ 4.89% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 3.11% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 1.35% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 1.06% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.81% Total : 19.74%